COT Signal Matrix — week of September 22, 2026

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday September 22, 2026: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Nasdaq (bearish), Coffee (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Euro (bullish), Japanese Yen (bearish), Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), Silver (bearish), Coffee (bullish), Sugar (bearish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish882662164+8-17+412164-0.78-13.6%
CryptoEthereumNeutral3557425143+35-43+175120+0.06-18.6%
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBullishLW MACO BULL6529755368+6-4-14530+1.16-0.7%
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral5837568153+13-17+18138-1.06-3.7%
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearishCOMM CAPITULATION4358475040-53+55+165089-0.01+0.8%
CurrenciesEuroBullish928248614+1+2-168619+0.21+1.3%
CurrenciesJapanese YenBearish178383588-20+14+83583-0.53-2.1%
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutral3562565852+14-15-125837+1.32–
CurrenciesNew ZealandNeutralLW MACO BULL2971513733-35+34+173771+0.77–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutral506802412-5+8-172468+1.13+0.6%
CurrenciesUS DollarNeutral3169702382+28-28-42342+1.03-2.2%
EnergiesCrude OilBearish5049544162-16+18-441100-1.68-5.6%
EnergiesGasolineBearish5240814885-11+12+234884-0.07-12.8%
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral6544624461+3+5-114477-0.31–
EnergiesNatural GasBullish983429331+5-4-29939+2.81-17.1%
EquitiesDOWNeutral2966732567+27-29-32555+0.62+1.4%
EquitiesNasdaqBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL010042045-100+100-580100-0.06-4.3%
EquitiesRussellBullish899609257-11+9+11929-0.22+1.7%
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral6838587064+68-62-387033-1.05-1.3%
Fixed Income10-Year NoteBearish66491671-18+11-56798+0.46+0.9%
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearish69421419-5-4+14489+0.52+0.8%
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutralBEAR TRENDMACD SELL7824107910-19+10-67949+0.24+1.5%
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearishMACD SELL010027027-6+6+70100-0.19+0.5%
GrainsCornBearish09957457-32+35-12499+1.04-9.9%
GrainsSoybeanBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010038157-21+21-121100+2.68-11.0%
GrainsSoybean MealBearish010079070-29+30+100100+1.31–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral4255732889+7-7-82865-1.50–
GrainsWheatNeutral573510058100+23-24+25861+1.05-11.5%
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutral551010061100-26+10+06110-1.15–
Live StockLean HogsBullish963879388+7-13+51933+0.74–
Live StockLive CattleBullish94110091100-6+0+22911-0.81–
MetalsCopperBearish59866762+5-2-4793+2.01-8.3%
MetalsGoldBearish1880871356+18-20+261375+1.37-0.0%
MetalsPalladiumNeutral3762654479-1-4+244421-0.19+1.1%
MetalsPlatinumBearish5067387427-26+46-167486+1.04-3.7%
MetalsSilverNeutral856741596+8+27-261556-0.11-2.9%
SoftsCocoaBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR10002010023+97-92-8010037-0.62–
SoftsCoffeeBullish100001000+100-97-10010017-0.78–
SoftsCottonBearish1585701463+13-15-31449+1.96–
SoftsLumberBullish936639849+11-11+3986+0.65+0.6%
SoftsOrange JuiceNeutral3953623962-10+10-283930-0.72–
SoftsSugarBearish49692296-20+23+9294+2.15-10.8%

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