COT Signal Matrix — week of September 15, 2026

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday September 15, 2026: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Nasdaq (bearish), Coffee (bullish), Sugar (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bearish), Nasdaq (bearish), 30-Year Note (bullish), Soybean Oil (bearish), Coffee (bullish), Sugar (bearish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinNeutral1678562554+12-20+372555-1.18-7.1%
CryptoEthereumNeutral3169274628+31-31+14642-0.10-9.8%
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBullish6233754853+4-3-5486+4.01+7.6%
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral2374832083-25+22+352077+1.04+1.7%
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish3966164313-60+66-743100+0.73-0.5%
CurrenciesEuroBullish8118317316-11+11+07337+1.34-0.5%
CurrenciesJapanese YenBearishBEAR TOP010082078-38+33+820100+2.31-1.9%
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearish2277525645-5+7-115683+2.46
CurrenciesNew ZealandBearish0100621142-68+66+5111100+2.16
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutral55580031-6+0-11057+2.99-2.6%
CurrenciesUS DollarNeutral3169662180+31-31-102144+0.73-0.6%
EnergiesCrude OilNeutral5246554958-3+9-264979-0.29-5.5%
EnergiesGasolineNeutral6429776282+6-6+216261-0.13-21.1%
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral5738833378-12+5+153366-0.30
EnergiesNatural GasBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME1000539741+2-7+20970+2.78-5.1%
EquitiesDOWBearishMACD BUY2183392525+21-17-252579+2.08+2.1%
EquitiesNasdaqBearish010060158-100+97+471100+1.61+1.6%
EquitiesRussellBullishBEAR TREND8914257818+4+8-427814+2.82-1.8%
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral6052406013+50-43-296052+2.39+0.2%
Fixed Income10-Year NoteBearish66474675-34+20+46793+0.40+1.3%
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearish010022020-13+0+200100+0.10+0.8%
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBullish9367948+0-10-179412+0.00-3.4%
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish010024025-13+12+50100-0.85+4.9%
GrainsCornBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010052352-31+34-173100+0.94-0.2%
GrainsSoybeanBearish39743560-14+14-12594+2.66+0.2%
GrainsSoybean MealBearishBEAR TOP4-YR SELL EXTREME010088072-27+28+180100+1.96
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral25728512100-12+11+141265-1.58
GrainsWheatNeutral256810023100+3-9+532372+1.25-12.6%
Live StockFeeder CattleBullish86167110070+10+7-2910016-2.16
Live StockLean HogsBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10008510087+18-23+641000+0.56
Live StockLive CattleBullish972779463-3+2-9942-1.08
MetalsCopperBearish2180621961+18-18+11939+1.65-1.7%
MetalsGoldBearish1985491122+19-15+231181+1.29+1.5%
MetalsPalladiumNeutral3664574372-5+1+174328-0.19+6.0%
MetalsPlatinumNeutral4960447935-27+26+317964+1.05-0.4%
MetalsSilverNeutral4054472471-21+47-392454-0.62-0.9%
SoftsCocoaNeutral4748735072+47-52-115073-0.48
SoftsCoffeeBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR100001007+90-86-10010038-1.30
SoftsCottonBearish89364758+1-3+1775+1.92
SoftsLumberBullish937589846+39-37-15987+0.49
SoftsOrange JuiceBearishMACD SELL08373073-53+25+29048-1.28
SoftsSugarBearish010095195-51+52+421100+2.91-12.1%

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