Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday August 25, 2026: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), Coffee (bearish), Sugar (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: DOW (bearish), Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), Platinum (bullish), Cocoa (bearish), Coffee (bearish), Sugar (bearish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 32 | 69 | 35 | 43 | 28 | +20 | -20 | +2 | 43 | 26 | -0.88 | -20.3% | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | MACD BUY | 37 | 65 | 24 | 49 | 24 | +20 | -12 | -5 | 49 | 51 | -0.22 | -19.4% |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Neutral | 61 | 30 | 92 | 50 | 77 | +3 | -8 | +20 | 50 | 0 | +2.32 | +0.1% | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bearish | 28 | 67 | 84 | 25 | 74 | -34 | +29 | +43 | 25 | 98 | +1.41 | -1.0% | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Neutral | 72 | 27 | 53 | 79 | 44 | -28 | +27 | +53 | 79 | 35 | +0.46 | -0.9% | |
| Currencies | Euro | Neutral | 81 | 15 | 50 | 74 | 41 | +5 | -10 | +21 | 74 | 30 | +0.29 | -10.0% | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bearish | LW MACO BULL | 48 | 57 | 24 | 54 | 21 | -36 | +38 | -7 | 54 | 83 | -0.17 | -2.8% |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 23 | 74 | 68 | 45 | 58 | -8 | +7 | +9 | 45 | 96 | +2.13 | – |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bearish | 29 | 73 | 53 | 43 | 33 | -68 | +70 | +48 | 43 | 100 | +0.35 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 3 | 100 | 24 | 0 | 24 | -75 | +62 | +15 | 0 | 100 | +0.50 | +2.8% |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | 12 | 90 | 56 | 6 | 69 | +8 | +1 | -31 | 6 | 83 | +1.32 | +0.2% | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | 56 | 40 | 63 | 51 | 69 | -30 | +28 | +22 | 51 | 55 | -0.84 | +3.8% | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Bearish | 62 | 31 | 78 | 53 | 87 | +2 | -4 | +32 | 53 | 100 | -0.38 | -20.0% | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 70 | 37 | 61 | 50 | 64 | -3 | +11 | -11 | 50 | 91 | -0.52 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Bullish | 98 | 6 | 41 | 89 | 36 | +17 | -15 | -3 | 89 | 15 | +2.36 | -1.5% | |
| Equities | DOW | Bearish | 14 | 85 | 64 | 11 | 58 | +14 | -15 | +0 | 11 | 84 | +1.01 | -0.2% | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bearish | 0 | 77 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -67 | +38 | +62 | 0 | 100 | +0.82 | -1.5% | |
| Equities | Russell | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 56 | 100 | 54 | +32 | -23 | -11 | 100 | 0 | -0.07 | +0.6% | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 31 | 66 | 98 | 30 | 91 | +31 | -32 | +7 | 30 | 66 | +-0.00 | -1.2% | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 56 | 44 | 26 | 41 | 27 | -6 | -7 | +16 | 41 | 71 | +2.49 | -1.1% | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -32 | +23 | -20 | 0 | 100 | +1.05 | -1.3% | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Neutral | 79 | 12 | 35 | 77 | 28 | -8 | +4 | -7 | 77 | 25 | +2.58 | -1.2% | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bearish | 1 | 93 | 53 | 0 | 52 | -1 | -7 | +36 | 0 | 49 | +0.97 | -0.7% | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 0 | 96 | 52 | 0 | 47 | -51 | +50 | -27 | 0 | 100 | +0.05 | -8.1% |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | 7 | 93 | 46 | 7 | 56 | -22 | +22 | +9 | 7 | 98 | +1.16 | -8.7% | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Neutral | 23 | 77 | 74 | 21 | 78 | -15 | +17 | -12 | 21 | 65 | +0.48 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 28 | 71 | 64 | 19 | 75 | +2 | -1 | -12 | 19 | 31 | -2.03 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Bearish | 6 | 91 | 59 | 5 | 59 | -23 | +20 | +24 | 5 | 88 | -0.01 | -6.4% | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 87 | 100 | 88 | +0 | +0 | -13 | 100 | 0 | +1.47 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bullish | LW MACO BULL4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 90 | 100 | 93 | +0 | +0 | -9 | 100 | 0 | -0.58 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 91 | 100 | 85 | +0 | +0 | -9 | 100 | 0 | -0.96 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 65 | 0 | 64 | -18 | +19 | +3 | 0 | 100 | +1.59 | -6.8% |
| Metals | Gold | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 0 | 100 | 69 | 0 | 43 | -74 | +67 | +50 | 0 | 100 | +1.99 | -3.3% |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 41 | 60 | 59 | 46 | 72 | -4 | +0 | +20 | 46 | 6 | -0.01 | +27.5% | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 63 | 41 | 31 | 90 | 9 | -37 | +41 | +13 | 90 | 41 | +1.26 | +16.8% | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BULL | 0 | 55 | 81 | 31 | 83 | -42 | +3 | +25 | 31 | 53 | +0.80 | -3.7% |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | 11 | 73 | 100 | 13 | 100 | +11 | -27 | +20 | 13 | 77 | -1.59 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | +0 | +0 | +12 | 0 | 100 | -1.31 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bearish | BEAR TOP4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 74 | 0 | 68 | -6 | +4 | +2 | 0 | 100 | +2.04 | – |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | 93 | 7 | 56 | 98 | 44 | +58 | -55 | -23 | 98 | 0 | +0.58 | -3.0% | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Neutral | 25 | 33 | 100 | 33 | 100 | -71 | +33 | +0 | 33 | 21 | -0.06 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bearish | BEAR TOP | 0 | 95 | 100 | 16 | 85 | -51 | +45 | +55 | 16 | 100 | +3.82 | -1.0% |
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