Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday August 18, 2026: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: DOW (bearish), Russell (bullish), 30-Year Note (bullish), Coffee (bearish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: DOW (bearish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bearish), 30-Year Note (bullish), Soybean Meal (bearish), Soybean Oil (bearish), Wheat (bearish), Cocoa (bearish), Coffee (bearish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | 20 | 82 | 27 | 31 | 18 | +14 | -14 | +0 | 31 | 56 | -1.00 | -2.5% | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | 13 | 86 | 27 | 19 | 30 | +7 | -3 | +1 | 19 | 80 | -0.63 | -15.8% | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Neutral | 63 | 30 | 85 | 52 | 79 | +5 | -11 | +23 | 52 | 0 | +1.49 | -0.2% | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bearish | 38 | 56 | 78 | 39 | 71 | -41 | +37 | +49 | 39 | 82 | +0.54 | +1.5% | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bullish | LW MACO BULL | 88 | 10 | 45 | 90 | 38 | -12 | +10 | +36 | 90 | 13 | +0.92 | -0.5% |
| Currencies | Euro | Bullish | 89 | 6 | 48 | 82 | 40 | +11 | -17 | +18 | 82 | 11 | +0.16 | +0.2% | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bearish | LW MACO BULL | 44 | 63 | 0 | 50 | 0 | -39 | +45 | -45 | 50 | 91 | -0.18 | -2.5% |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 25 | 73 | 61 | 44 | 54 | -3 | +2 | +8 | 44 | 85 | +2.17 | – |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bearish | LW MACO BULL | 54 | 46 | 40 | 70 | 22 | -46 | +46 | +31 | 70 | 88 | +0.36 | – |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bearish | 35 | 89 | 19 | 0 | 21 | -49 | +53 | +16 | 0 | 100 | +0.89 | -4.0% | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | 10 | 91 | 65 | 4 | 77 | +7 | +2 | -28 | 4 | 85 | +1.35 | -0.5% | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | 57 | 39 | 59 | 52 | 65 | -21 | +20 | +4 | 52 | 51 | -1.07 | -4.3% | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 76 | 20 | 60 | 64 | 72 | +14 | -15 | +28 | 64 | 71 | -0.57 | -14.6% | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 67 | 41 | 59 | 47 | 63 | -27 | +24 | +14 | 47 | 100 | -0.55 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Bullish | 99 | 2 | 65 | 91 | 58 | +30 | -29 | +11 | 91 | 0 | +2.13 | -1.0% | |
| Equities | DOW | Bearish | 5 | 92 | 77 | 3 | 70 | -8 | -5 | +41 | 3 | 92 | +1.27 | +0.2% | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 39 | 45 | 100 | 42 | 99 | -22 | +8 | +43 | 42 | 65 | +0.70 | +1.8% | |
| Equities | Russell | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 45 | 97 | 43 | +19 | -12 | -7 | 97 | 0 | +0.45 | +1.1% | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bearish | 11 | 91 | 86 | 10 | 78 | +0 | -5 | +25 | 10 | 91 | +0.21 | +0.7% | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Bullish | 84 | 24 | 16 | 77 | 18 | +24 | -30 | +9 | 77 | 16 | +1.05 | -0.5% | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -44 | +37 | -21 | 0 | 100 | +0.09 | -1.2% | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 0 | +32 | -23 | -59 | 100 | 0 | +0.35 | -0.2% | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bearish | 8 | 92 | 22 | 3 | 22 | +2 | -4 | +0 | 3 | 54 | -0.14 | +0.3% | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | MACD SELL | 24 | 73 | 61 | 16 | 57 | -32 | +32 | -21 | 16 | 65 | +0.19 | -2.3% |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | 14 | 86 | 47 | 14 | 58 | -19 | +17 | +19 | 14 | 73 | +1.40 | -7.0% | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Neutral | 22 | 77 | 84 | 20 | 91 | -29 | +30 | +1 | 20 | 61 | +0.43 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 27 | 71 | 80 | 20 | 91 | -5 | +4 | +12 | 20 | 27 | -1.47 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BULL | 22 | 70 | 100 | 20 | 100 | -66 | +56 | +82 | 20 | 67 | +0.56 | -2.9% |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | +14 | -9 | +29 | 100 | 0 | +0.65 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREMEMACD SELL | 100 | 4 | 40 | 100 | 35 | +0 | +4 | -60 | 100 | 4 | -0.65 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 76 | 100 | 64 | +17 | +0 | -19 | 100 | 0 | -1.43 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Bearish | BEAR TOPMACRO BEAR SETUP | 1 | 99 | 68 | 5 | 67 | -18 | +18 | +8 | 5 | 96 | +1.57 | -2.9% |
| Metals | Gold | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 69 | 0 | 55 | -67 | +59 | +51 | 0 | 100 | +1.20 | +1.3% | |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 40 | 63 | 50 | 44 | 64 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 44 | 17 | +0.15 | +20.0% | |
| Metals | Platinum | Bullish | 85 | 15 | 42 | 100 | 41 | -15 | +15 | +24 | 100 | 15 | +0.33 | +20.0% | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 0 | 28 | 100 | 57 | 87 | -41 | -72 | +84 | 57 | 24 | +1.79 | +3.5% | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bearish | 4 | 86 | 100 | 6 | 100 | +4 | -14 | +22 | 6 | 86 | -1.87 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0 | 100 | -0.91 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bearish | BEAR TOP4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 80 | 4 | 76 | -12 | +8 | +24 | 4 | 100 | +1.59 | – |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | MACD BUY | 91 | 10 | 43 | 95 | 34 | +51 | -47 | -48 | 95 | 7 | +0.57 | -3.1% |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Neutral | 64 | 5 | 100 | 69 | 100 | -4 | -32 | +69 | 69 | 3 | +0.61 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 8 | 87 | 100 | 21 | 85 | -42 | +36 | +55 | 21 | 100 | +3.18 | -10.6% |
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