COT Signal Matrix — week of December 09, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday December 09, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Russell (bearish), Coffee (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Japanese Yen (bullish), Gasoline (bearish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bearish), 2-Year Note (bullish), Lean Hogs (bullish), Copper (bearish), Gold (bearish), Coffee (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish3864493651-12+19-183682-1.51–
CryptoEthereumBearish2180541218+19-20-51250+1.68–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutralMACD SELL6328955176-7+8+275176+4.47–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBullish8912188720-2-9+188719+2.31–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarNeutral7227398737-28+27+308753+0.13–
CurrenciesEuroBearish010082758-14+10+147100+2.62–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullish10001410014+19-22+31000+3.04–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP1386782865-27+27-428100+3.22–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish1000289031+24-24+4900+2.41–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBullish970367940+57-66-5790+2.00–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish937548661-7+7+18622+0.86–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish8910548757-2+0+218727-0.85–
EnergiesGasolineBearish989881481-18+19+111486+0.75–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral2378752273+15-8-102225+0.16–
EnergiesNatural GasBearishMACD SELL3259783682-47+38+523681-0.33–
EquitiesDOWBullish919909190+18-12+79113-0.51–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral7781001697-15+5+311678+1.85–
EquitiesRussellBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL18492184-55+49-41100+0.25–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral4620984894+9-24-24839+0.85–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral3855782675-27+27-1826100+1.61–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBullish9017248918+19-13-19897+0.66–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral2656742180+26-13-262170+0.03–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish8418428841+5+1-478868+0.46–
GrainsCornNeutralEXHAUSTION5343814572-12+11-34578-0.93–
GrainsSoybeanBearish89244652+8-8-7686+1.42–
GrainsSoybean MealNeutral2575422357+25-25+182373-1.91–
GrainsSoybean OilBullish8513238622+31-34-158620+0.76–
GrainsWheatBearish39538136+3-5+38195-0.84–
Live StockFeeder CattleBullish10048310077+0+4-171003-1.30–
Live StockLean HogsBullish1000221000+2-4-351000-1.30–
Live StockLive CattleBullish1005759361+54-41-25925-1.49–
MetalsCopperBearish787100091-14+13+110100+0.49–
MetalsGoldNeutralEXHAUSTION4352100299-16+11+20252-1.03–
MetalsPalladiumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010081076-2+8+00100+0.73–
MetalsPlatinumNeutralMACD SELL072533750-19+4-243772+0.42–
MetalsSilverNeutral73400650-27+40-306553-0.89–
SoftsCocoaNeutral79227799+5-8-147922+1.27–
SoftsCoffeeBullish100001000+87-98+010027-0.40–
SoftsCottonNeutral4453294140-33+34-241100+1.23–
SoftsLumberBullish982379632+21-21+26960+1.74–
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10008810088+0+0+331000+1.25–
SoftsSugarBullish964149615-4+4+69614+1.21–

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