COT Signal Matrix — week of December 02, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday December 02, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: DOW (bullish), Cocoa (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Japanese Yen (bullish), New Zealand (bullish), Heating Oil (bearish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bearish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Lean Hogs (bullish), Copper (bearish), Gold (bearish), Cocoa (bullish), Coffee (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish3171462747-12+21-2427100-1.63–
CryptoEthereumNeutralMACD BUY2478471017+24-22-191064+1.47–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutral8013797679+15-13+107635+0.73–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBullish929179317+13-16-169314+1.81–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBullish889349436-12+9+249414+0.82–
CurrenciesEuroBearish1290741361+0-2+61367+1.64–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullish947189618+13-16+189615+1.69–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP1980841973-27+27+319100+1.91–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish973139219+20-20-16920+1.96–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBullishLW MACO BULL742668564+37-64+11852+0.05–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullishMACD SELL980678971-2+0+0891+1.00–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish976289629-3+6-139614-0.22–
EnergiesGasolineBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010082078-57+61+320100+0.21–
EnergiesHeating OilBearish1483951295-13+7+421242-0.17–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral5739506553-33+32+226550-0.72–
EquitiesDOWBullish974919892+15-9+8986-0.67–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral7791001198-1-11+241178+1.14–
EquitiesRussellBearish1474781776-49+39+1417100-0.81–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral501710053100+7-24+45333+0.41–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteBearish4549813176-12+13-1131100+1.97–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutral7431277021+11-5-207045+0.72–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBearish1461861190+14-2-141183+0.40–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish8715499148+16-11-349156+0.43–
GrainsCornBearish5146744261-25+24-124286-1.03–
GrainsSoybeanBearish19849158-17+15-8197+1.75–
GrainsSoybean MealBearish89414621-40+42-37593-1.79–
GrainsSoybean OilBullish8117318229+31-37+78226+1.37–
GrainsWheatBearishLW MACO BULL010029024-41+42-270100-1.31–
Live StockFeeder CattleBullish1000100100100+28-28+191000-1.76–
Live StockLean HogsBullish10003210013+36-39-121000-1.36–
Live StockLive CattleBullish1000100100100+92-83+111000-1.21–
MetalsCopperBearish207497090-6+3+13090+0.22–
MetalsGoldNeutralEXHAUSTION51451000100-32+30+16045-1.45–
MetalsPalladiumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010079077+0+6+30100+0.61–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral40211005095-25-9+75021+0.04–
MetalsSilverNeutral871807442-13+18-577427-1.48–
SoftsCocoaBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME100001000+3-2-61000-0.01–
SoftsCoffeeBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR10001310018+100-100-5110043-1.13–
SoftsCottonNeutral4948364744-44+43+214787+1.04–
SoftsLumberBullish972349727+29-30+20970+1.47–
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10008910089+0+0+881000+1.36–
SoftsSugarBullish963179618-4+3+169612+1.39–

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