Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday December 16, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Russell (bearish), Soybean Oil (bullish), Coffee (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: DOW (bullish), Russell (bearish), Soybean Oil (bullish), Copper (bearish), Gold (bearish), Coffee (bullish), Sugar (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 48 | 60 | 37 | 48 | 36 | +0 | +9 | -19 | 48 | 72 | -1.57 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | 13 | 89 | 48 | 6 | 17 | +5 | -4 | -14 | 6 | 73 | +1.55 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bearish | 34 | 59 | 100 | 32 | 82 | -36 | +37 | +34 | 32 | 100 | +3.87 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | 68 | 31 | 43 | 75 | 37 | -32 | +31 | +43 | 75 | 49 | +1.06 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bearish | MACD SELL | 34 | 69 | 51 | 43 | 49 | -66 | +69 | +44 | 43 | 100 | -0.07 | – |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | BEAR TOPMACD SELL | 0 | 100 | 82 | 8 | 54 | -24 | +18 | +34 | 8 | 100 | +2.95 | – |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 40 | 100 | 36 | +7 | -10 | +40 | 100 | 0 | +0.92 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Neutral | 27 | 70 | 86 | 52 | 63 | -11 | +8 | +15 | 52 | 50 | +4.85 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 89 | 10 | 35 | 87 | 34 | +11 | -11 | +5 | 87 | 17 | +1.78 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 88 | 0 | 62 | 55 | 64 | -12 | +0 | +60 | 55 | 0 | +2.85 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | 70 | 32 | 36 | 72 | 40 | -27 | +30 | -32 | 72 | 100 | -1.54 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bullish | MACD SELL | 92 | 8 | 48 | 91 | 49 | +3 | -5 | +22 | 91 | 24 | -0.30 | – |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 29 | 69 | 68 | 36 | 60 | +24 | -26 | -28 | 36 | 62 | +1.30 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Neutral | 31 | 70 | 65 | 30 | 65 | +31 | -27 | -35 | 30 | 1 | -0.13 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 59 | 38 | 45 | 64 | 47 | -11 | +14 | -5 | 64 | 48 | +0.01 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 86 | 13 | 88 | 82 | 83 | +1 | +1 | +10 | 82 | 19 | +0.89 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 6 | 74 | 100 | 29 | 98 | +3 | -14 | +10 | 29 | 74 | +3.33 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Bearish | BEAR TOP | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -59 | +62 | +31 | 0 | 100 | +2.61 | – |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 24 | 38 | 100 | 21 | 78 | -24 | +2 | +0 | 21 | 67 | +2.60 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 34 | 57 | 83 | 24 | 82 | -24 | +23 | -12 | 24 | 100 | +1.36 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 80 | 23 | 36 | 74 | 28 | +3 | -2 | -2 | 74 | 24 | +0.81 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Neutral | MACD BUY | 31 | 53 | 70 | 27 | 70 | +16 | -4 | -22 | 27 | 62 | +0.51 | – |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Neutral | 77 | 24 | 50 | 80 | 49 | -11 | +11 | -8 | 80 | 91 | +0.32 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | 62 | 36 | 80 | 56 | 72 | -1 | +1 | -1 | 56 | 56 | -0.61 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | 12 | 86 | 58 | 7 | 62 | +12 | -14 | +14 | 7 | 77 | +0.78 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Neutral | 35 | 67 | 20 | 35 | 33 | +35 | -33 | -10 | 35 | 64 | -2.05 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +25 | -27 | -15 | 100 | 0 | +0.92 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | 41 | 59 | 56 | 47 | 59 | +35 | -41 | +56 | 47 | 59 | -0.02 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bullish | 100 | 1 | 80 | 100 | 74 | +0 | +1 | -20 | 100 | 1 | -1.00 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bullish | 86 | 12 | 68 | 80 | 46 | -14 | +12 | +9 | 80 | 12 | -1.43 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Bullish | 97 | 5 | 87 | 91 | 79 | -3 | +5 | -13 | 91 | 5 | -1.17 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Bearish | 4 | 90 | 100 | 0 | 91 | -12 | +10 | +8 | 0 | 100 | +0.72 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | MACD SELL | 30 | 64 | 100 | 17 | 93 | -29 | +25 | +13 | 17 | 64 | +0.25 | – |
| Metals | Palladium | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 68 | 0 | 67 | +0 | +5 | -6 | 0 | 100 | +0.92 | – |
| Metals | Platinum | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 49 | 25 | 39 | -9 | +44 | -46 | 25 | 100 | +1.26 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Bullish | 91 | 13 | 43 | 82 | 46 | -9 | +13 | -4 | 82 | 18 | -1.06 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | 56 | 53 | 0 | 55 | 0 | -1 | -10 | -17 | 55 | 53 | -0.49 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Bullish | MACD BUY | 100 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +92 | -99 | -37 | 100 | 0 | -0.57 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Neutral | 49 | 49 | 25 | 44 | 36 | -7 | +12 | -28 | 44 | 92 | +1.45 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | 94 | 6 | 39 | 91 | 32 | +12 | -8 | +14 | 91 | 13 | +1.96 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 97 | 100 | 97 | +0 | +0 | +34 | 100 | 0 | +0.47 | – |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | MACD SELL | 92 | 10 | 10 | 92 | 11 | -8 | +10 | +0 | 92 | 37 | +1.20 | – |
COT Analyzer · free weekly Commitments of Traders charts and signals · get this report by email