COT Signal Matrix — week of October 14, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday October 14, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bullish), Japanese Yen (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Cocoa (bullish), Cotton (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Canadian Dollar (bullish), Japanese Yen (bullish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Cocoa (bullish), Cotton (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinNeutral5147615161-14+10+55179-0.61–
CryptoEthereumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME09666319-5-2-6395+2.56–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearish6032737075-17+14+157083-0.90–
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral81300800-15+23-558038+0.96–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBullish10001956+46-48-39950+0.92–
CurrenciesEuroNeutral1590611549+10+2-23154+1.79–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullish100011001+27-34-121000-1.06–
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutralEXHAUSTION5049702770+3-4+32742+0.05–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish7030207921+27-27-9790+1.06–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutralLW MACO BULL4564376733+8-10-126710-0.48–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish1000749880+4-7+42980+0.15–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10005510052+0+0+41000+1.56–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral5836535053+14-7-165029-0.39–
EnergiesHeating OilBearish2581622954+25-19-232925+2.16–
EnergiesNatural GasBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR8214378236+46-49-13810+1.52–
EquitiesDOWBullish934818981-7+4+38895+0.28–
EquitiesNasdaqBearish010076071-57+80+230100+0.08–
EquitiesRussellBearish5245665763-4+9-2257100-1.20–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral6829947496-23+18+557443-0.83–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral5637864584-9+4+124559+1.93–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearish5151323123-18+18-832100+1.40–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral16481007100-32+9+23776+0.79–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish7126787276-29+26+972100+0.73–
GrainsCornNeutral7820847580+8-9+197529+0.30–
GrainsSoybeanBearish2873513261-14+16-1632100+2.11–
GrainsSoybean MealNeutral872416848+15-14+168428+1.75–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral5056104911+12-7-454918+1.03–
GrainsWheatNeutral553910023100+19-16+152223+2.09–
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutral5746685255-7+46-325246-0.78–
Live StockLean HogsNeutral43650310+5+9-1003165-0.33–
Live StockLive CattleBearishMACD SELL010051034-32+36-70100-1.70–
MetalsCopperBearish2572821574-18+16+1415100+0.55–
MetalsGoldNeutral5940826372+47-51+82633+0.85–
MetalsPalladiumBearishMACD SELL19472769-30+33-167100+0.92–
MetalsPlatinumNeutralMACD SELL6542484245+14-1-374255-0.26–
MetalsSilverBullish10008310057+49-52+551000+0.91–
SoftsCocoaBullish100001000+0+0-391000+1.54–
SoftsCoffeeBearish010074070+0+0-260100+0.97–
SoftsCottonBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME1000510016+26-27-251000+1.61–
SoftsLumberNeutral7523207923+6-13+4799+1.09–
SoftsOrange JuiceBullishMACD BUY100001000+90-75-701000+2.17–
SoftsSugarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10001310014+0+0-41000-0.09–

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