COT Signal Matrix — week of October 07, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday October 07, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Japanese Yen (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Orange Juice (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bullish), Japanese Yen (bullish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Copper (bearish), Cocoa (bullish), Lumber (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinNeutral7132557151+16-17+87154-0.47–
CryptoEthereumNeutral3064751721+30-36-61763+2.46–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearish5534916398-35+29+446387-0.88–
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutralMACD SELL6738166716-20+29-576747+1.37–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBullish9660992+48-46-60990+0.46–
CurrenciesEuroBearish79579965+1+8-1952+2.04–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullish100021002+43-47-221000-1.03–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearish3663741274-13+13+91290+0.30–
CurrenciesNew ZealandNeutral6336317628+20-21+4760+0.43–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutralLW MACO BULL4067456340+2-3-76317-0.66–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish981459554+0-2-3955+0.40–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10006410061+0+0+71000+1.31–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral4739693471-2+0+63451-0.91–
EnergiesHeating OilBearish1980772367+13-19-42332+1.91–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral7724257825+42-38-34780+1.07–
EquitiesDOWBullish898788779-1-2+258710-0.07–
EquitiesNasdaqBearish010064056+0+19-30100+0.41–
EquitiesRussellNeutral5737796375-9+7+76355-1.11–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral543910059100-43+37+545959-0.74–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral5143854083-12+12-34061+1.93–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutralBEAR TREND5546383428-3+8-193492+1.60–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral214610011100-2-18+111172+0.80–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish7126807378-24+19+137399+0.68–
GrainsCornNeutral7524777270+4-3-37253-0.10–
GrainsSoybeanBearish3071533361-14+15-53383+1.74–
GrainsSoybean MealNeutral803114809+37-32+148036+1.39–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral4858194620+17-13-354621+0.58–
GrainsWheatNeutral09665067-57+59-22058+1.10–
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutral8038568036+80-46-448038-0.86–
Live StockLean HogsBearish21870130-30+41-891387+0.35–
Live StockLive CattleBearishEXHAUSTION208924010-35+50-28089-2.10–
MetalsCopperBearish2869891881-14+13+181892+0.52–
MetalsGoldNeutral3567783268-3+14-143252+0.90–
MetalsPalladiumNeutral1573922179-14+13-82164+1.10–
MetalsPlatinumNeutralMACD BUY7337405835+16+0-495837+0.02–
MetalsSilverBullish80910010083+4-2+610010+0.46–
SoftsCocoaNeutral1003801000+0+38-2810038+2.09–
SoftsCoffeeBearish119368070+11-7-32093+0.12–
SoftsCottonBullish967229729+46-40-19970+1.15–
SoftsLumberBullish7821168220+15-22+4827+1.07–
SoftsOrange JuiceBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR100001000+100-74-10010017+1.68–
SoftsSugarBullish946299731-3+5+109727-0.63–

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