COT Signal Matrix — week of October 21, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday October 21, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Orange Juice (bullish), Sugar (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Cocoa (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5Positioning · NPF CS 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexLrg IndexSml IndexComm IndexSml IndexComm MoveLrg MoveSml MoveWILLCOInst SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish4350704370-6+3+44384-0.61
CryptoEthereumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010066319+0+0-93100+2.66
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutral6526697569-9+6+47570-0.71
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutralLW MACO BULL7925337930-15+19-307931+0.78
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBullish1000109915+42-43-32990+1.02
CurrenciesEuroNeutral1292681257+10-7-201217+1.68
CurrenciesJapanese YenNeutral81230780+5-7-377842-0.99
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutralMACD BUYMACRO BEAR SETUP4653811979+0+0+71956+0.07
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish7723298230+31-31+6820+1.48
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutralLW MACO BULL3766555649+3+5-215615-0.32
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10006710074+0-5+421000-0.12
EnergiesCrude OilBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10004110041+0+0-141000+0.78
EnergiesGasolineNeutralMACD BUY5739504651+19-4-424636-0.80
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral2776532944+18-7-39290+1.59
EnergiesNatural GasBullish907288927+59-64-14890+1.59
EquitiesDOWNeutral8213837682+1-4+347618+1.09
EquitiesNasdaqBearish890761276-27+40+231289+0.52
EquitiesRussellNeutral6335646961-5+11-326977-1.06
EquitiesS&P 500Bearish43419649100-49+34+484990-1.06
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral5736924489-5+2+124452+2.10
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutral6336474937-17+17-34957+1.29
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME0631000100-43+35+00100+0.94
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish7126836978-18+18-106997+1.06
GrainsCornNeutral7622867083+6-7+167055+0.21
GrainsSoybeanBearishMACD SELL1883572465-25+28-1524100+1.69
GrainsSoybean MealNeutral4852514642-8+0+364660+1.47
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral5054245123+1+2-215113+2.25
GrainsWheatNeutral4158561058-27+29-311034+1.60
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutral7228816975-28+28-196928-0.76
Live StockLean HogsNeutralMACD BUYEXHAUSTION6439444836+49-43+54839-1.05
Live StockLive CattleBearish88389164-41+44+6184-1.67
MetalsCopperBearish2671841875-15+14+131894+0.76
MetalsGoldBullishMACD BUY8315848777+71-85+84870+0.40
MetalsPalladiumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME09476675-26+28-66100+0.58
MetalsPlatinumNeutralMACD BUY6530932692-16+30+12633-1.44
MetalsSilverBullish10005710041+46-43+71000+0.59
SoftsCocoaBullish9726985-3-2-20982+1.33
SoftsCoffeeBearish010064060+0+0-290100+1.02
SoftsCottonBullish935159524+11-16-6957+1.31
SoftsLumberNeutral6832147318-4+0-57322+0.67
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME100011005+71-62-481000+1.87
SoftsSugarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME100011002+0+0-191000+0.13

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