Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday September 30, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Japanese Yen (bullish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bullish), Japanese Yen (bullish), Mexican Peso (bearish), Gasoline (bearish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Cocoa (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish), Sugar (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | 45 | 55 | 52 | 45 | 49 | -23 | +25 | -15 | 45 | 93 | -1.03 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 47 | 1 | 16 | -25 | +21 | -22 | 1 | 100 | +2.57 | – |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Neutral | 62 | 30 | 77 | 72 | 81 | -24 | +21 | +24 | 72 | 73 | -1.03 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | LW MACO BULL | 71 | 33 | 32 | 72 | 32 | -10 | +18 | -41 | 72 | 37 | +0.66 | – |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bullish | 79 | 26 | 0 | 93 | 0 | +37 | -37 | -38 | 93 | 0 | -0.21 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | 7 | 95 | 80 | 8 | 66 | -2 | +10 | +5 | 8 | 59 | +1.97 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 0 | +42 | -48 | -11 | 96 | 0 | -1.01 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 33 | 66 | 81 | 4 | 82 | -19 | +19 | +10 | 4 | 100 | +0.08 | – |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Neutral | 59 | 41 | 27 | 74 | 23 | +19 | -19 | -11 | 74 | 2 | +0.20 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 35 | 74 | 51 | 57 | 39 | -5 | +5 | +3 | 57 | 32 | -0.70 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 45 | 100 | 53 | +6 | -4 | -24 | 100 | 0 | -0.01 | – |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bullish | 86 | 10 | 80 | 88 | 78 | -14 | +8 | +25 | 88 | 14 | +1.05 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Bearish | 28 | 55 | 90 | 20 | 95 | -37 | +32 | +35 | 20 | 100 | -0.98 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 4 | 93 | 88 | 10 | 76 | -10 | +0 | +17 | 10 | 82 | +2.24 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Bullish | 61 | 41 | 28 | 61 | 28 | +27 | -19 | -36 | 61 | 5 | +1.37 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | EXHAUSTION | 100 | 0 | 72 | 100 | 75 | +3 | -8 | +25 | 100 | 0 | -0.59 | – |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bearish | EXHAUSTIONMACD SELL | 3 | 96 | 59 | 0 | 59 | -7 | +21 | -3 | 0 | 95 | +0.18 | – |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | EXHAUSTION | 49 | 45 | 82 | 58 | 84 | -33 | +28 | +29 | 58 | 67 | -2.09 | – |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | EXHAUSTION | 74 | 30 | 62 | 74 | 90 | -20 | +22 | +23 | 74 | 64 | -0.83 | – |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 41 | 48 | 94 | 30 | 91 | -36 | +24 | +23 | 30 | 79 | +2.19 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | BEAR TRENDMACD SELL | 53 | 48 | 39 | 31 | 29 | -23 | +20 | +6 | 31 | 83 | +1.69 | – |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Neutral | 33 | 38 | 92 | 22 | 91 | +10 | -23 | -3 | 22 | 55 | +0.59 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bearish | 72 | 26 | 74 | 75 | 73 | -25 | +22 | +2 | 75 | 100 | +0.52 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | 73 | 25 | 79 | 70 | 72 | -3 | +3 | -6 | 70 | 62 | -0.41 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 43 | 57 | 72 | 43 | 78 | +0 | +0 | +7 | 43 | 25 | +1.63 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Neutral | 79 | 33 | 14 | 81 | 12 | +20 | -12 | +2 | 81 | 38 | +0.88 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 58 | 47 | 15 | 56 | 16 | +24 | -20 | -45 | 56 | 0 | +0.89 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | 43 | 47 | 97 | 38 | 98 | -53 | +46 | -3 | 38 | 47 | +0.35 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bullish | EXHAUSTION | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | +100 | -83 | +39 | 100 | 0 | -1.49 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 22 | 0 | 26 | -65 | +64 | -32 | 0 | 100 | +1.14 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 50 | 65 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -8 | +27 | -40 | 6 | 65 | -1.81 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 35 | 63 | 78 | 22 | 76 | -6 | +7 | +4 | 22 | 59 | -0.10 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Bearish | 13 | 87 | 91 | 10 | 78 | -31 | +39 | -7 | 10 | 81 | +1.24 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 20 | 70 | 87 | 30 | 78 | -9 | +8 | -13 | 30 | 64 | +0.94 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | MACD SELL | 57 | 59 | 7 | 39 | 11 | -4 | +27 | -82 | 39 | 68 | -0.09 | – |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 64 | 25 | 85 | 86 | 72 | -19 | +14 | +22 | 86 | 24 | +0.30 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bullish | 100 | 24 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +30 | -10 | -37 | 100 | 16 | +2.34 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Bearish | 18 | 84 | 73 | 5 | 78 | -25 | +34 | -6 | 5 | 84 | +0.09 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bullish | 79 | 23 | 20 | 78 | 27 | +32 | -29 | -17 | 78 | 5 | +1.19 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | 81 | 17 | 19 | 86 | 23 | +25 | -33 | +9 | 86 | 0 | +0.98 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bullish | 100 | 20 | 8 | 94 | 6 | +89 | -55 | -75 | 94 | 65 | -0.99 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 93 | 8 | 18 | 96 | 20 | -3 | +6 | +0 | 96 | 37 | -0.24 | – | |
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