Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday August 19, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: DOW (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bullish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Gold (bearish), Orange Juice (bearish), Sugar (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 68 | 30 | 67 | 68 | 58 | -30 | +30 | +1 | 68 | 74 | -0.33 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | 25 | 79 | 69 | 28 | 21 | -48 | +56 | +6 | 28 | 81 | +2.79 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bullish | 86 | 9 | 53 | 96 | 49 | +15 | -15 | -12 | 96 | 0 | -0.37 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bullish | 81 | 15 | 73 | 80 | 71 | +64 | -60 | -17 | 80 | 15 | +1.25 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Neutral | 42 | 63 | 38 | 81 | 20 | +29 | -23 | -54 | 81 | 28 | -0.92 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | 9 | 85 | 75 | 14 | 64 | +4 | -1 | -19 | 14 | 82 | +2.13 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Neutral | 58 | 48 | 11 | 56 | 10 | +27 | -22 | -50 | 56 | 3 | +0.41 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Neutral | 52 | 47 | 71 | 23 | 76 | -6 | +7 | -13 | 23 | 78 | -0.39 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Neutral | LW MACO BULL | 40 | 60 | 38 | 54 | 28 | +14 | -10 | -40 | 54 | 69 | -1.03 | – |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 40 | 69 | 48 | 55 | 38 | +36 | -22 | -49 | 55 | 10 | -0.14 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bullish | LW MACO BULLMACD SELL | 94 | 4 | 69 | 94 | 81 | +1 | -4 | +37 | 94 | 12 | -0.85 | – |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bullish | BULL TREND4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 2 | 55 | 98 | 56 | +52 | -40 | -18 | 98 | 3 | +0.39 | – |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 65 | 23 | 55 | 55 | 62 | +14 | -9 | -26 | 55 | 12 | -1.58 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 14 | 93 | 71 | 15 | 67 | +14 | -7 | -29 | 15 | 93 | +0.25 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 34 | 60 | 64 | 36 | 65 | +17 | -18 | -3 | 36 | 44 | +0.73 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 97 | 8 | 47 | 93 | 48 | +71 | -47 | -16 | 93 | 6 | +0.56 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 10 | 75 | 62 | 5 | 64 | -2 | -3 | +1 | 5 | 70 | +0.79 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Bullish | 82 | 17 | 53 | 84 | 53 | -18 | +17 | +18 | 84 | 17 | -0.47 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bullish | 94 | 8 | 39 | 93 | 45 | +10 | -5 | -5 | 93 | 15 | -0.80 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 77 | 24 | 71 | 67 | 70 | +13 | -12 | +7 | 67 | 5 | +2.28 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 76 | 28 | 33 | 55 | 24 | +15 | -10 | -15 | 55 | 21 | +1.56 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | 23 | 61 | 95 | 14 | 89 | -25 | +15 | +40 | 14 | 100 | +0.55 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 97 | 4 | 72 | 86 | 59 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 86 | 15 | +2.31 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | 76 | 22 | 85 | 73 | 80 | -6 | +5 | +6 | 73 | 19 | -0.30 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 43 | 57 | 65 | 42 | 70 | +5 | -3 | -6 | 42 | 47 | +1.29 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 59 | 45 | 12 | 61 | 0 | -41 | +44 | -60 | 61 | 100 | +1.04 | – |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | MACD BUY | 34 | 67 | 60 | 32 | 63 | +3 | -1 | -13 | 32 | 20 | +1.14 | – |
| Grains | Wheat | Bullish | 96 | 1 | 100 | 67 | 100 | +96 | -99 | +100 | 67 | 38 | +1.29 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bearish | MACD BUY4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 83 | 61 | 0 | 63 | +0 | -17 | +61 | 0 | 89 | +0.15 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | 65 | 36 | 54 | 60 | 36 | +58 | -57 | +43 | 60 | 55 | -0.98 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 58 | 38 | 40 | 48 | 34 | -21 | -3 | +21 | 48 | 38 | -0.78 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 41 | 56 | 74 | 23 | 82 | +5 | -13 | +48 | 23 | 27 | -1.18 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | 44 | 48 | 98 | 17 | 100 | -21 | +18 | +10 | 17 | 56 | -0.69 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 29 | 62 | 100 | 41 | 83 | -10 | +6 | +2 | 41 | 78 | +0.80 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | MACD BUY | 61 | 32 | 89 | 56 | 83 | +38 | -46 | +26 | 56 | 32 | -0.39 | – |
| Metals | Silver | Bullish | EXHAUSTION | 83 | 11 | 63 | 94 | 63 | +58 | -52 | -36 | 94 | 10 | -0.14 | – |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | 70 | 34 | 37 | 63 | 44 | -30 | +34 | +37 | 63 | 24 | -0.19 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BULL | 43 | 50 | 79 | 59 | 77 | -57 | +50 | +79 | 60 | 11 | -0.01 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Neutral | 47 | 52 | 37 | 58 | 43 | +4 | -7 | +2 | 58 | 12 | -0.07 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Neutral | 56 | 50 | 10 | 62 | 15 | +25 | -19 | -23 | 62 | 34 | -0.47 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Neutral | 11 | 75 | 83 | 13 | 82 | -89 | +75 | +42 | 13 | 69 | -0.82 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 96 | 2 | 18 | 95 | 20 | -4 | +0 | +16 | 95 | 6 | +0.37 | – | |
COT Analyzer · free weekly Commitments of Traders charts and signals · get this report by email