Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday August 26, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Nasdaq (bearish), S&P 500 (bullish), Coffee (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), S&P 500 (bullish), Feeder Cattle (bearish), Gold (bearish), Coffee (bearish), Orange Juice (bearish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | 55 | 49 | 47 | 55 | 41 | -44 | +49 | -19 | 55 | 100 | -0.71 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 81 | 13 | 22 | -77 | +79 | +19 | 13 | 100 | +3.28 | – |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bullish | 90 | 5 | 47 | 99 | 42 | +17 | -18 | -8 | 99 | 0 | -0.14 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bullish | 87 | 9 | 73 | 85 | 72 | +64 | -60 | -11 | 85 | 9 | +1.20 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bullish | 48 | 52 | 60 | 88 | 51 | +33 | -32 | -24 | 88 | 6 | -0.74 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 6 | 87 | 80 | 13 | 67 | +4 | -2 | -13 | 13 | 90 | +2.34 | – |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Neutral | 57 | 47 | 24 | 59 | 22 | +18 | -17 | -20 | 59 | 10 | +0.55 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | 49 | 50 | 65 | 20 | 70 | -11 | +13 | -31 | 20 | 100 | -0.33 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Neutral | MACD BUY | 43 | 57 | 27 | 57 | 16 | +13 | -12 | -29 | 57 | 62 | -0.71 | – |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 38 | 70 | 52 | 56 | 42 | +28 | -19 | -36 | 56 | 13 | -0.19 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bullish | 98 | 3 | 48 | 97 | 55 | +6 | -6 | +16 | 97 | 11 | -0.49 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 57 | 100 | 59 | +24 | -14 | -12 | 100 | 0 | +0.25 | – |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 49 | 39 | 63 | 36 | 72 | +12 | -10 | -12 | 36 | 67 | -1.72 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 6 | 99 | 81 | 9 | 76 | +6 | -1 | -18 | 9 | 99 | +0.54 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | MACD BUY | 35 | 62 | 59 | 35 | 60 | +25 | -29 | +10 | 35 | 46 | +0.94 | – |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 90 | 10 | 53 | 87 | 54 | +48 | -40 | +4 | 87 | 9 | +0.43 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bearish | 0 | 81 | 67 | 0 | 71 | -13 | -9 | +18 | 0 | 78 | +0.52 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | 66 | 30 | 72 | 68 | 72 | -34 | +30 | +28 | 68 | 31 | -0.68 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bullish | 97 | 2 | 46 | 96 | 50 | +3 | +0 | +8 | 96 | 3 | -0.52 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 63 | 31 | 88 | 48 | 83 | +6 | -13 | +34 | 48 | 27 | +3.18 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 58 | 38 | 57 | 40 | 46 | -13 | +6 | +22 | 40 | 45 | +1.44 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | 23 | 64 | 89 | 18 | 60 | -32 | +26 | +36 | 18 | 100 | +2.61 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 95 | 7 | 67 | 80 | 53 | -5 | +6 | +14 | 80 | 27 | +2.51 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | MACD SELL | 71 | 27 | 80 | 69 | 71 | -10 | +8 | +6 | 69 | 49 | -1.05 | – |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 44 | 56 | 58 | 43 | 62 | +0 | +2 | -15 | 43 | 46 | +0.89 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 43 | 63 | 0 | 47 | 0 | -49 | +55 | -79 | 47 | 100 | -0.30 | – |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 31 | 71 | 54 | 28 | 57 | +24 | -19 | -42 | 28 | 31 | +0.75 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | 57 | 37 | 87 | 53 | 89 | +53 | -56 | +73 | 54 | 61 | +0.32 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bearish | MACD SELL4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 84 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -2 | -16 | +100 | 0 | 84 | -0.19 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | 51 | 46 | 89 | 43 | 86 | +34 | -37 | +66 | 44 | 59 | -0.58 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 55 | 39 | 52 | 52 | 54 | -9 | -16 | +36 | 52 | 39 | -0.03 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 42 | 56 | 71 | 22 | 80 | +7 | -14 | +46 | 22 | 28 | -1.33 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | 38 | 53 | 92 | 20 | 92 | -18 | +16 | -8 | 20 | 58 | -0.46 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 29 | 60 | 100 | 42 | 93 | -5 | -3 | +18 | 42 | 73 | +0.56 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 57 | 37 | 89 | 49 | 84 | +19 | -35 | +50 | 49 | 37 | -0.55 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Bullish | 76 | 11 | 94 | 85 | 90 | +51 | -56 | +12 | 85 | 10 | -0.14 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 28 | 100 | 32 | +0 | +0 | +17 | 100 | 0 | -0.93 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL | 0 | 100 | 100 | 14 | 100 | -87 | +85 | +100 | 14 | 26 | +1.31 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Neutral | 50 | 47 | 41 | 60 | 47 | +17 | -21 | -2 | 60 | 4 | -0.01 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Neutral | MACD BUY | 63 | 43 | 12 | 70 | 17 | +34 | -28 | -10 | 70 | 22 | -0.20 | – |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BULL | 0 | 74 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -100 | +74 | +100 | 0 | 68 | -0.88 | – |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 97 | 1 | 19 | 96 | 21 | +0 | -3 | +17 | 96 | 2 | +0.60 | – | |
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