Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday August 12, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Feeder Cattle (bearish), Copper (bearish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | 50 | 40 | 77 | 50 | 69 | -32 | +26 | +16 | 50 | 100 | -0.59 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 97 | 89 | 19 | 25 | -53 | +49 | +44 | 19 | 100 | +2.89 | – |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bullish | 80 | 14 | 59 | 94 | 57 | +11 | -13 | -1 | 94 | 0 | -1.00 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bullish | 96 | 0 | 70 | 95 | 69 | +79 | -72 | -27 | 95 | 0 | +1.06 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Neutral | 33 | 68 | 60 | 69 | 51 | +26 | -24 | -30 | 69 | 33 | -0.98 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 9 | 84 | 83 | 14 | 73 | -3 | +4 | -4 | 14 | 76 | +2.20 | – |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Neutral | 55 | 50 | 5 | 51 | 8 | +33 | -25 | -92 | 51 | 0 | +0.51 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Neutral | 54 | 44 | 73 | 34 | 74 | -4 | +4 | -15 | 34 | 60 | -0.06 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Neutral | 41 | 59 | 36 | 55 | 22 | +13 | -10 | -37 | 55 | 67 | -0.96 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 36 | 65 | 63 | 50 | 57 | +29 | -18 | -37 | 50 | 0 | -0.15 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bullish | 94 | 3 | 73 | 94 | 84 | +0 | -4 | +42 | 94 | 9 | -0.67 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREMESTRUCTURAL BEAR | 100 | 0 | 68 | 100 | 67 | +68 | -57 | -10 | 100 | 0 | +1.29 | – |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 66 | 20 | 65 | 55 | 75 | +5 | -6 | +0 | 55 | 0 | -1.75 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 14 | 88 | 78 | 16 | 74 | +14 | -10 | -22 | 16 | 88 | +0.13 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 26 | 68 | 72 | 26 | 72 | +5 | -5 | +5 | 26 | 58 | +0.95 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Neutral | 80 | 11 | 67 | 78 | 66 | +41 | -56 | +26 | 78 | 9 | +0.88 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 50 | 0 | 51 | -20 | +36 | -13 | 0 | 100 | +1.50 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Bullish | 99 | 0 | 49 | 100 | 48 | -1 | +0 | +14 | 100 | 0 | -0.26 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 40 | 100 | 45 | +34 | -34 | -2 | 100 | 0 | -0.87 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 72 | 24 | 85 | 62 | 84 | +14 | -19 | +30 | 62 | 6 | +2.36 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 85 | 18 | 35 | 63 | 26 | +19 | -17 | -3 | 63 | 0 | +1.69 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | MACD SELL | 24 | 62 | 93 | 15 | 89 | -14 | +15 | +7 | 15 | 91 | +0.46 | – |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREMEMACD SELL | 100 | 0 | 80 | 92 | 69 | +2 | +0 | +2 | 92 | 0 | +2.13 | – |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | 81 | 18 | 81 | 79 | 74 | -3 | +3 | -4 | 79 | 7 | -0.38 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Bullish | 52 | 48 | 69 | 50 | 77 | +15 | -13 | -2 | 50 | 19 | +1.15 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Neutral | MACD SELL | 70 | 33 | 21 | 71 | 3 | -30 | +33 | -79 | 71 | 74 | +1.44 | – |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Bearish | 21 | 81 | 70 | 18 | 72 | -10 | +14 | -16 | 18 | 54 | +1.30 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Bullish | 78 | 19 | 97 | 57 | 97 | +78 | -81 | +97 | 57 | 45 | +1.44 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Neutral | 18 | 60 | 80 | 8 | 87 | +3 | -18 | +23 | 8 | 76 | +0.42 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | MACD BUY | 45 | 55 | 53 | 41 | 51 | +43 | -43 | +49 | 41 | 64 | -0.32 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 66 | 38 | 9 | 51 | 5 | +7 | -1 | -58 | 51 | 38 | -1.18 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 39 | 58 | 77 | 19 | 86 | -1 | -6 | +38 | 19 | 41 | -1.20 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | 39 | 55 | 67 | 6 | 75 | -28 | +26 | -12 | 6 | 74 | -0.51 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Bearish | 28 | 64 | 100 | 40 | 81 | -10 | +8 | +0 | 40 | 82 | +0.76 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 44 | 57 | 82 | 22 | 81 | +28 | -27 | +20 | 22 | 48 | -0.79 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Bullish | EXHAUSTION | 84 | 1 | 100 | 91 | 100 | +79 | -83 | +0 | 90 | 0 | -0.26 | – |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL | 51 | 49 | 63 | 51 | 63 | -48 | +43 | +43 | 51 | 35 | +1.09 | – |
| Softs | Coffee | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 29 | 98 | 31 | +0 | +0 | -15 | 98 | 0 | -1.02 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Neutral | MACD BUY | 55 | 46 | 30 | 67 | 35 | +17 | -17 | -12 | 67 | 0 | -0.04 | – |
| Softs | Lumber | Neutral | 33 | 70 | 10 | 32 | 15 | +0 | +3 | -25 | 32 | 70 | -0.15 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bearish | 9 | 94 | 25 | 18 | 24 | -91 | +94 | -10 | 18 | 87 | -0.48 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 94 | 2 | 27 | 93 | 29 | -6 | +2 | +19 | 93 | 7 | +0.33 | – | |
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