Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday August 05, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), Sugar (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Platinum (bearish), Cocoa (bullish), Coffee (bullish), Sugar (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 80 | 23 | 53 | 82 | 46 | -13 | +18 | -9 | 82 | 59 | -0.64 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | MACD SELL | 24 | 70 | 61 | 30 | 21 | -76 | +63 | +17 | 30 | 82 | +2.24 | – |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bullish | 79 | 17 | 52 | 96 | 48 | +7 | -8 | -3 | 96 | 0 | -1.31 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bullish | 93 | 0 | 62 | 93 | 61 | +76 | -76 | -26 | 93 | 0 | +0.50 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Neutral | MACD BUY | 24 | 79 | 50 | 56 | 36 | +24 | -21 | -41 | 56 | 53 | -1.17 | – |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | MACD BUYMACRO BEAR SETUP | 10 | 84 | 75 | 15 | 65 | +0 | +2 | -12 | 15 | 81 | +2.17 | – |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Neutral | 49 | 53 | 27 | 44 | 28 | +26 | -25 | -43 | 44 | 0 | +0.30 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 50 | 49 | 73 | 25 | 76 | -10 | +12 | -8 | 25 | 98 | -0.19 | – |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Neutral | 41 | 59 | 33 | 56 | 19 | +11 | -9 | -33 | 56 | 69 | -0.95 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 36 | 68 | 60 | 50 | 53 | +32 | -28 | -34 | 50 | 0 | -0.24 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bullish | 95 | 0 | 85 | 95 | 98 | -5 | +0 | +52 | 95 | 0 | -0.73 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bullish | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 87 | 1 | 77 | 90 | 74 | +59 | -55 | -23 | 90 | 0 | +1.57 | – |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 59 | 30 | 57 | 48 | 64 | +10 | -6 | -19 | 48 | 51 | -1.77 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 16 | 89 | 72 | 16 | 70 | +16 | -5 | -28 | 16 | 89 | -0.27 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 24 | 72 | 66 | 25 | 67 | +1 | +0 | +15 | 25 | 64 | +0.81 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 85 | 2 | 76 | 82 | 75 | +34 | -67 | +41 | 82 | 0 | +1.06 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bearish | 5 | 87 | 62 | 0 | 66 | -55 | +60 | +15 | 0 | 83 | +0.36 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 33 | 100 | 33 | +21 | -22 | +3 | 100 | 0 | -0.18 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bullish | 84 | 14 | 42 | 88 | 49 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 88 | 28 | -1.25 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 79 | 22 | 69 | 74 | 71 | +36 | -33 | +10 | 74 | 0 | +1.61 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 74 | 28 | 40 | 51 | 30 | +16 | -16 | +5 | 51 | 0 | +1.86 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Neutral | 39 | 45 | 89 | 29 | 87 | -4 | -3 | +22 | 29 | 26 | +0.34 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 98 | 0 | 80 | 92 | 70 | +3 | +0 | -10 | 92 | 0 | +1.93 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | 80 | 22 | 60 | 77 | 48 | +1 | +4 | -32 | 77 | 13 | +0.08 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 59 | 41 | 68 | 56 | 75 | +26 | -24 | -10 | 56 | 0 | +0.84 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bullish | 100 | 6 | 19 | 100 | 0 | +0 | +6 | -80 | 100 | 9 | +1.63 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Bearish | 14 | 89 | 70 | 12 | 72 | -14 | +17 | -6 | 12 | 74 | +1.65 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 58 | 45 | 51 | 34 | 58 | +58 | -55 | +51 | 35 | 62 | +1.73 | – |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 98 | 26 | 0 | 63 | -13 | +11 | -19 | 0 | 98 | +1.14 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | 39 | 61 | 54 | 34 | 53 | +37 | -37 | +54 | 34 | 64 | -0.15 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 63 | 39 | 23 | 54 | 26 | +16 | -7 | -50 | 54 | 46 | -0.61 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 44 | 51 | 91 | 27 | 100 | -1 | -9 | +60 | 27 | 6 | -1.06 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Bearish | 42 | 54 | 63 | 3 | 71 | -29 | +30 | -26 | 3 | 83 | -0.47 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Bearish | 24 | 71 | 100 | 36 | 77 | -18 | +16 | +17 | 36 | 95 | +0.60 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 44 | 52 | 99 | 20 | 94 | +37 | -42 | +44 | 20 | 52 | -0.87 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | MACD BUY | 59 | 29 | 100 | 68 | 100 | +47 | -55 | +4 | 68 | 26 | +0.09 | – |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bullish | 92 | 13 | 6 | 93 | 5 | -8 | +13 | -31 | 93 | 11 | +0.32 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Bullish | 100 | 4 | 7 | 100 | 6 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 100 | 2 | +1.93 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Neutral | 51 | 51 | 16 | 65 | 20 | +5 | -6 | -11 | 65 | 4 | -0.34 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bearish | 12 | 87 | 22 | 14 | 26 | -31 | +27 | -4 | 14 | 100 | +0.69 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bearish | 5 | 93 | 39 | 0 | 36 | -95 | +93 | +36 | 0 | 93 | -1.33 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 3 | 100 | 4 | +0 | +0 | -12 | 100 | 0 | +0.18 | – |
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