COT Signal Matrix — week of May 27, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday May 27, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bearish), Japanese Yen (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), Crude Oil (bullish), Nasdaq (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME1002639652+43-62+56960+0.54–
CryptoEthereumNeutral7527657226+54-57+60720+2.33–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutral6433627260-4-2+267251-0.73–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBearish246510020100-44+41+382081-0.09–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarNeutral266810040100+4-17+644056-1.08–
CurrenciesEuroBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP2368922287-17+11+112296+1.80–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP794871086+7-6-131088+1.32–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP5545572771-21+20+262787-0.59–
CurrenciesNew ZealandNeutral6236518144-11+10+198192-0.25–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBearish7831009100-28+27+22988-1.16–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish9413188923+12-8-21896-0.73–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish8816128711-9+12-18732+1.65–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral5248355638-33+30+165655+0.31–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral3159773375-28+19+213361-0.76–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral5937367239+13-8-20725-1.33–
EquitiesDOWBearish4586104011-53+65+1040100-0.20–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral8629118512+35-59+118529+0.28–
EquitiesRussellBearish61695605-3+13+56085-0.61–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral8034137916-20+14+137934-0.47–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutralMACD SELL444510035100-29+20+123582+2.22–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearishMACD SELL196310022100-45+23+7622100-0.27–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral2365901579-21+17+301535+1.12–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish1000959687+1+0+10960+2.09–
GrainsCornNeutral6533696061+35-35+27600+0.41–
GrainsSoybeanBearish2869832987-9+6+3229100+1.08–
GrainsSoybean MealBullish8711578555+6-9+488520+0.24–
GrainsSoybean OilBearish3070673265-2+0+133287+1.74–
GrainsWheatNeutral5646324430-27+24-154424+0.54–
Live StockFeeder CattleBearish58459145-63+70-33184+0.01–
Live StockLean HogsBearishMACD SELL1682342439-82+82-662465+2.14–
Live StockLive CattleNeutral71322910046-9+27-7110032+1.18–
MetalsCopperNeutral5053383747-5+3+173745-0.70–
MetalsGoldNeutral8899874100-12+8+157411-1.27–
MetalsPalladiumNeutral6138697259-17+15+217264+0.57–
MetalsPlatinumBearishSTRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL13995264-65+73-552699+2.51–
MetalsSilverNeutral3962601561-26+37-41449-0.68–
SoftsCocoaNeutral2670602456-74+70+512449+0.61–
SoftsCoffeeNeutral1004237830+0+4-68782-0.18–
SoftsCottonNeutral4560135616+2-1+45663-0.63–
SoftsLumberBullish7135218024+15-12-98012+0.04–
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish941148614+1-12+14860-0.50–
SoftsSugarBullishMACD BUY8717118712+6-3-188758-0.86–

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