COT Signal Matrix — week of June 03, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday June 03, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bearish), Japanese Yen (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), US Dollar (bullish), Crude Oil (bullish), Nasdaq (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Feeder Cattle (bearish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10015610047+21-33+181000+0.07–
CryptoEthereumBullish8322627525+40-54+62750+2.05–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutral6631547050+6-7-67045+0.33–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP107310015100-47+36+331580+1.00–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarNeutral3165924491+21-34+554447-0.90–
CurrenciesEuroBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP21691002191-16+12+02199+2.24–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBearishMACD BUY108910011100+10-11+01176+1.08–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP5347622776-17+17+122792-0.46–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBearish6137527541-4+4+87594+0.25–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBearish8801001100-7+6+12185-0.48–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullishLW MACO BULL9116148714-5+7-138710-1.09–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish8517228719-1-2+218749+2.26–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral5348195523-30+28+15560-0.01–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutralMACD SELL3554763776-23+15+183756-0.90–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral3961354637-2+4-44646-0.82–
EquitiesDOWBearish3493252927-50+65+42999+0.15–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral8821168717+54-79+148721+0.36–
EquitiesRussellNeutral75570740+17+13-427458-0.27–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral8126248028-19+11+168026-0.36–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteBearish5052475152-18+24-425199+0.25–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearish4359185717-29+27-75787-1.04–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral4348663363-5+2+11333+0.51–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10006210058+0+0-151000+1.52–
GrainsCornNeutralSTRUCTURAL BEAR7325796974+40-41+40690+0.47–
GrainsSoybeanBearish3266723379-4+1+233388+1.25–
GrainsSoybean MealBullish895848589+4-11+708510+0.72–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral4654494748+14-17-44767+1.42–
GrainsWheatNeutral5059114311-42+46-434326+0.19–
Live StockFeeder CattleBearishMACD SELL4-YR SELL EXTREME010057084-3+66-430100+0.56–
Live StockLean HogsBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP01003021-77+79-84077+2.48–
Live StockLive CattleNeutral51396382100-16+12-38239+1.33–
MetalsCopperNeutral4954353642-3-1+253653-0.60–
MetalsGoldNeutralEXHAUSTION78199445100-22+19+394525-1.67–
MetalsPalladiumNeutralMACD SELL6039677159-20+21-77169+0.51–
MetalsPlatinumBearish2679354130-56+55-174180+2.40–
MetalsSilverBearishSTRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL99478951-50+66-5992+0.73–
SoftsCocoaNeutral3052993093-65+45+933036+0.51–
SoftsCoffeeBullish10003310034+2-6-101000+1.42–
SoftsCottonNeutral4955245929+11-13+225957-0.46–
SoftsLumberNeutral6936267629+11-10+17613+0.29–
SoftsOrange JuiceNeutral820297431-18-1+29740-0.15–
SoftsSugarBullish939119413+11-12-99423-0.07–

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