Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday May 13, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Nasdaq (bullish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Cocoa (bearish), Orange Juice (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Bitcoin (bullish), Mexican Peso (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), Nasdaq (bullish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Silver (bearish), Cocoa (bearish), Orange Juice (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 36 | 0 | 96 | 0 | +44 | -26 | -3 | 96 | 26 | +0.04 | – |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | 33 | 70 | 35 | 61 | 17 | -28 | +21 | +16 | 61 | 50 | +1.84 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bearish | 60 | 41 | 45 | 67 | 40 | -17 | +19 | +5 | 67 | 88 | -0.70 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | 49 | 45 | 74 | 40 | 80 | -2 | +2 | +9 | 40 | 74 | -0.45 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bearish | 15 | 87 | 41 | 21 | 25 | -46 | +42 | +33 | 21 | 84 | -1.21 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | 26 | 68 | 86 | 25 | 82 | -26 | +18 | +44 | 25 | 100 | +1.60 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bearish | 6 | 97 | 64 | 7 | 68 | +1 | +3 | -36 | 7 | 96 | +1.24 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | 51 | 48 | 75 | 5 | 100 | -13 | +11 | +45 | 5 | 96 | -1.06 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bearish | 59 | 38 | 58 | 77 | 50 | -28 | +26 | +32 | 77 | 97 | -0.16 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bearish | 0 | 94 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -80 | +93 | +41 | 0 | 100 | -1.26 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bullish | 92 | 11 | 39 | 87 | 45 | +32 | -32 | +4 | 87 | 3 | -1.15 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | 78 | 27 | 0 | 79 | 0 | -14 | +10 | -17 | 79 | 37 | +1.84 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 41 | 51 | 66 | 45 | 69 | +13 | -20 | +19 | 45 | 60 | +0.32 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Neutral | 62 | 7 | 100 | 66 | 100 | +16 | -36 | +12 | 66 | 5 | -0.93 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 52 | 49 | 24 | 57 | 25 | +8 | +9 | -50 | 57 | 30 | -0.37 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bearish | 63 | 63 | 6 | 58 | 8 | -37 | +55 | +6 | 58 | 100 | -0.68 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 100 | 44 | 2 | 100 | 5 | +43 | +4 | -36 | 100 | 37 | +0.68 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Bullish | 100 | 9 | 5 | 100 | 5 | +19 | -17 | -12 | 100 | 12 | -0.42 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 28 | +35 | -44 | +24 | 100 | 0 | -0.41 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 74 | 30 | 59 | 68 | 57 | +9 | -4 | -19 | 68 | 50 | +1.97 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | BEAR TREND | 60 | 45 | 18 | 57 | 11 | +0 | +1 | -5 | 57 | 51 | +0.28 | – |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Neutral | 33 | 56 | 78 | 24 | 71 | +15 | -16 | -5 | 24 | 19 | +0.85 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 97 | 9 | 55 | 87 | 50 | +1 | +9 | -23 | 87 | 17 | +2.49 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | 59 | 39 | 70 | 54 | 61 | +19 | -20 | +28 | 54 | 0 | +0.08 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | 30 | 67 | 78 | 31 | 82 | -21 | +17 | +23 | 31 | 100 | +0.68 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bullish | 95 | 4 | 23 | 94 | 19 | -2 | +3 | -11 | 94 | 9 | -0.09 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 20 | 81 | 73 | 20 | 73 | -40 | +39 | +35 | 20 | 100 | +1.20 | – |
| Grains | Wheat | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 74 | 85 | 67 | +0 | +0 | -26 | 85 | 0 | +1.22 | – |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Neutral | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 79 | 44 | 14 | 36 | +0 | -21 | +42 | 14 | 79 | +0.26 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | 52 | 46 | 59 | 44 | 58 | -47 | +44 | -33 | 44 | 46 | +0.58 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 35 | 61 | 32 | 25 | 48 | +35 | -39 | +2 | 25 | 61 | +0.61 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 51 | 52 | 34 | 37 | 43 | +6 | -8 | +14 | 37 | 40 | -1.06 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 86 | 94 | 91 | +4 | -6 | +18 | 94 | 0 | -1.35 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Bullish | 78 | 20 | 68 | 82 | 57 | +15 | -16 | -1 | 82 | 9 | +0.98 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 73 | 38 | 22 | 68 | 27 | +11 | -8 | -7 | 68 | 38 | -0.92 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 53 | 40 | 78 | 13 | 87 | +26 | -28 | +10 | 13 | 21 | -1.47 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -91 | +90 | +96 | 0 | 28 | -0.05 | – |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | 70 | 33 | 51 | 41 | 53 | -30 | +33 | +51 | 41 | 17 | -0.50 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bearish | 24 | 81 | 11 | 32 | 14 | -35 | +44 | -63 | 32 | 86 | -1.07 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | 74 | 30 | 32 | 83 | 36 | +47 | -42 | -8 | 83 | 14 | -0.05 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bullish | 100 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +0 | -15 | +0 | 100 | 0 | -0.51 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 82 | 20 | 24 | 81 | 27 | +11 | -8 | -22 | 81 | 72 | -1.42 | – | |
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