Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday May 06, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Japanese Yen (bearish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Japanese Yen (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), Crude Oil (bullish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Silver (bearish), Cocoa (bearish), Orange Juice (bullish), Sugar (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 14 | 41 | 97 | 35 | +65 | -63 | +27 | 97 | 0 | -0.13 | – |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | 28 | 75 | 30 | 55 | 15 | +15 | -12 | +18 | 55 | 64 | +0.79 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bearish | 60 | 42 | 46 | 66 | 41 | -19 | +21 | +10 | 66 | 91 | -0.59 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | 50 | 44 | 73 | 41 | 80 | +6 | -7 | +3 | 41 | 77 | -0.31 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bearish | 3 | 97 | 52 | 3 | 41 | -56 | +51 | +33 | 3 | 96 | -1.42 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 28 | 64 | 100 | 25 | 99 | -18 | +9 | +49 | 25 | 100 | +1.27 | – |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 0 | 99 | 100 | 4 | 97 | -6 | +3 | +22 | 4 | 99 | +1.58 | – |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | EXHAUSTION | 51 | 50 | 49 | 0 | 71 | -7 | +7 | +14 | 0 | 100 | -1.20 | – |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bearish | EXHAUSTION | 60 | 38 | 55 | 78 | 48 | -22 | +22 | +21 | 78 | 95 | -0.17 | – |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bearish | 0 | 92 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -71 | +71 | +49 | 0 | 100 | -1.43 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bullish | 98 | 9 | 19 | 92 | 28 | +44 | -36 | -40 | 92 | 0 | -0.17 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | 82 | 21 | 8 | 84 | 7 | -2 | -3 | -10 | 84 | 23 | +2.44 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 57 | 42 | 38 | 61 | 41 | +6 | -10 | +13 | 61 | 46 | +0.36 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bullish | 86 | 3 | 54 | 90 | 52 | +29 | -42 | +6 | 90 | 0 | -0.68 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 59 | 45 | 15 | 67 | 15 | +5 | +14 | -52 | 67 | 22 | -0.61 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bearish | MACD SELL | 66 | 56 | 11 | 62 | 12 | -34 | +56 | +0 | 62 | 100 | -0.93 | – |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bearish | 74 | 86 | 0 | 71 | 0 | +5 | +65 | -48 | 71 | 83 | -0.35 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | MACD BUY | 97 | 34 | 0 | 94 | 0 | +15 | +5 | -6 | 94 | 53 | -0.24 | – |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bullish | 100 | 15 | 5 | 100 | 7 | +26 | -14 | -10 | 100 | 1 | -0.37 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 75 | 23 | 89 | 73 | 87 | +15 | -17 | +20 | 73 | 25 | +1.32 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 52 | 45 | 52 | 52 | 55 | +1 | -3 | +19 | 52 | 52 | +0.15 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Neutral | 38 | 50 | 78 | 28 | 73 | +17 | -20 | -1 | 28 | 8 | +0.76 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 99 | 0 | 92 | 91 | 85 | +14 | -8 | +19 | 91 | 0 | +2.42 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | 46 | 52 | 59 | 38 | 45 | +10 | -11 | +22 | 38 | 0 | -0.13 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | 36 | 63 | 64 | 35 | 68 | -19 | +16 | +24 | 35 | 89 | +0.19 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bullish | 97 | 1 | 36 | 96 | 35 | +2 | -3 | +18 | 96 | 4 | -0.62 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Bearish | 26 | 75 | 68 | 25 | 68 | -60 | +57 | +68 | 25 | 97 | +0.87 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | 82 | 17 | 86 | 74 | 85 | -4 | +1 | +12 | 74 | 12 | -0.01 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Neutral | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 41 | 39 | 70 | 45 | 43 | +41 | -61 | +70 | 45 | 39 | -0.67 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | 68 | 31 | 61 | 58 | 57 | -32 | +31 | -39 | 58 | 31 | -0.48 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 45 | 55 | 22 | 44 | 38 | +38 | -29 | -37 | 44 | 55 | +0.79 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 53 | 52 | 21 | 39 | 26 | +11 | -12 | +5 | 39 | 41 | -1.15 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Bullish | 99 | 0 | 82 | 99 | 82 | +20 | -19 | -14 | 99 | 0 | -1.16 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Bullish | 77 | 23 | 53 | 80 | 50 | +12 | -10 | -19 | 80 | 18 | +1.07 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 71 | 39 | 28 | 67 | 32 | +13 | +0 | -37 | 67 | 39 | -0.37 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 47 | 47 | 80 | 10 | 85 | +33 | -34 | +7 | 10 | 29 | -1.25 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | 49 | 48 | 71 | 16 | 91 | -43 | +39 | +64 | 16 | 10 | -0.86 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | 52 | 51 | 54 | 24 | 60 | -38 | +40 | +46 | 24 | 26 | -0.65 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bearish | 12 | 95 | 0 | 18 | 0 | -74 | +80 | -40 | 18 | 100 | -1.30 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 67 | 37 | 30 | 76 | 35 | +40 | -35 | -9 | 76 | 27 | -0.30 | – |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bullish | 100 | 13 | 0 | 80 | 0 | +0 | +13 | -37 | 80 | 5 | -1.27 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 86 | 18 | 15 | 85 | 16 | +15 | -9 | -34 | 85 | 64 | -1.31 | – | |
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