COT Signal Matrix — week of April 29, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday April 29, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Japanese Yen (bearish), S&P 500 (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Japanese Yen (bearish), Mexican Peso (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), Crude Oil (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Soybean Oil (bearish), Orange Juice (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5Positioning · NPF CS 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexLrg IndexSml IndexComm IndexSml IndexComm MoveLrg MoveSml MoveWILLCOInst SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBullish8427468740+64-64+37870-0.27
CryptoEthereumNeutral4457466224+21-22+316219+0.83
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearishLW MACO BULL5941526550-13+15+46586-0.52
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral5440694577+3+1-94569-0.63
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish1110029816-53+60+108100-1.46
CurrenciesEuroBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP286410025100-21+11+5425100+1.09
CurrenciesJapanese YenBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP4-YR SELL EXTREME010099296-6+6+62100+1.56
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearishEXHAUSTION564357583-4+2+155100-1.20
CurrenciesNew ZealandBearishEXHAUSTION5840547546-23+22+2275100-0.01
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBearishEXHAUSTION108889187-53+55+391100-1.23
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish9412258832+35-32-14883-0.50
EnergiesCrude OilNeutralBEAR TREND802310809-9+7-228023+1.42
EnergiesGasolineNeutral6834277030+9-10+17031+0.01
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral6726616960+1-5+12690-0.92
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral58497687+12+10-656829-1.11
EquitiesDOWBearish71555677-23+42-567100-0.69
EquitiesNasdaqBearish71810650+49+19-686576-0.80
EquitiesRussellBearishMACD SELL71550690-4+17+06997+0.04
EquitiesS&P 500Bullish10013910011+85-68-491000-0.38
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral6133966197-12+2+366141+0.83
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutralMACD SELL5248405340-10+12-115362+0.08
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral3754722767+24-25-112714+0.78
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10008510082+15-7+101000+1.86
GrainsCornNeutral3860522935+8-9+13293-0.14
GrainsSoybeanBearish3466593362-21+18+2833100-0.08
GrainsSoybean MealBullish981209825+13-14-5984-1.39
GrainsSoybean OilBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL2278791884-54+51+6818100-0.48
GrainsWheatBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME1000100100100+22-27+571000-0.15
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutral5019934657+14-81+934619-1.31
Live StockLean HogsNeutral682710059100-32+27+65927-0.48
Live StockLive CattleNeutral5239652370-5-1-52339-0.41
MetalsCopperNeutral5550214226+7-5-74234-1.17
MetalsGoldBullish10006010065+30-29-161000-1.26
MetalsPalladiumBullish8018738459+15-14-10840+0.96
MetalsPlatinumNeutral6741346239+34-33+266241-0.62
MetalsSilverNeutral4249932973+31-37+272933-0.17
SoftsCocoaNeutral7820365073-22+20+365012-1.18
SoftsCoffeeNeutralSTRUCTURAL BULL5249813885-48+49+713826-0.70
SoftsCottonBearishLW MACO BULL14921220-61+69-5222100-1.72
SoftsLumberNeutral6342277232+34-29-117237-0.62
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish10090880+0+9-37884-1.58
SoftsSugarNeutral8123158016+5+2-378083-1.07

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