COT Signal Matrix — week of April 22, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday April 22, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Japanese Yen (bearish), S&P 500 (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Japanese Yen (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), Crude Oil (bullish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), S&P 500 (bullish), Soybean Meal (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBullish7934388333+48-51+38830-0.04–
CryptoEthereumNeutral43760621+2+12-206267+1.17–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutral6038606558-3-4+306572-0.25–
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral5737674775+2-2+54764-1.10–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish109937525-61+64+315100-1.38–
CurrenciesEuroBearish375710034100-27+22+503497+0.82–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME01001000100+0+0+00100+1.45–
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutral7030503471-8+8+93470-1.21–
CurrenciesNew ZealandNeutral6533448439-31+30+2584100-0.03–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBearishEXHAUSTION157488685-46+51+216100-1.07–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish969279034+81-75-31900-0.48–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish86191831-5+4-268319+0.95–
EnergiesGasolineBullish8320188722-12+8+138712+0.67–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral5839586158+21-22-76110-0.81–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral4157394842+14-10-164842-1.20–
EquitiesDOWNeutral8428218224+4+11-108172-0.66–
EquitiesNasdaqBearish341002163+26+39-9816100-0.99–
EquitiesRussellNeutral5844425645-1-2+385678+0.15–
EquitiesS&P 500Bullish1001581008+94-71-671000+0.14–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral6828897292+17-21+247234+0.18–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutralMACD BUY7232257321+5+1-29730+0.10–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral4846553750+26-25-18370+0.82–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10007710076+16-10+91000+1.40–
GrainsCornNeutral3366392525+9-7-72518+0.75–
GrainsSoybeanBearish3665493657-20+18+2036100+0.60–
GrainsSoybean MealBullishBEAR TREND851614856-9+9+68545+0.77–
GrainsSoybean OilBearishMACD SELL3271533055-38+38+423097+0.17–
GrainsWheatBullish92135410058+11-11+1310013+0.18–
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutral334100055-51-66+100034-1.98–
Live StockLean HogsNeutral7721876785-23+21-136721-1.02–
Live StockLive CattleNeutral6727662859-7+5-242827-1.22–
MetalsCopperNeutral5255103811-1+6-253869-1.05–
MetalsGoldBullish10005510055+4-2-441000-1.00–
MetalsPalladiumBullish8018748560+14-14-2850+0.92–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral8224527958+29-26+37924-0.45–
MetalsSilverNeutralMACD BUY5928834088+35-48+344018-0.65–
SoftsCocoaNeutral95767234-5+7+6724-1.69–
SoftsCoffeeNeutral986437058-2+6+16703-1.62–
SoftsCottonBearish38682520-52+58-4152100-1.46–
SoftsLumberNeutralMACD BUY5846256630+28-22-176646-0.60–
SoftsOrange JuiceNeutral10010724+0+1+0721-2.03–
SoftsSugarNeutral8221208122-3+8-188177-0.83–

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