COT Signal Matrix — week of March 18, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday March 18, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Cocoa (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: DOW (bullish), Cocoa (bullish), Coffee (bullish).

← March 11, 2025 · All weekly reports · March 25, 2025 →

Explore this week interactively: Signal Heatmap · Crowding Strip · Crowdedness Board · Model Divergence

				Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5			Positioning · NPF CS 80/20		Index Momentum			Friction & Flow		Open Interest
Asset Class	Asset	Tape Bias	Signals	Comm Index	Lrg Index	Sml Index	Comm Index	Sml Index	Comm Move	Lrg Move	Sml Move	WILLCO	Inst Sentiment	OI Z	Max Pain Pull
Crypto	Bitcoin	Bearish		20	91	9	49	8	-21	+23	+9	49	100	+0.37	–
Crypto	Ethereum	Bearish		23	79	15	51	15	-10	+13	-16	51	85	+1.95	–
Currencies	Australian Dollar	Bullish		72	26	48	82	45	-8	+3	+20	82	7	-0.78	–
Currencies	British Pound	Bearish		51	39	78	35	84	-42	+33	+60	35	100	-1.37	–
Currencies	Canadian Dollar	Bearish		64	40	19	57	17	-13	+13	-1	57	100	+0.49	–
Currencies	Euro	Bearish		49	53	46	41	57	-45	+47	+24	41	100	-0.75	–
Currencies	Japanese Yen	Bearish		6	94	93	0	73	-12	+13	+6	0	93	+0.66	–
Currencies	Mexican Peso	Bearish		60	41	42	21	59	-32	+31	+29	21	100	-1.12	–
Currencies	New Zealand	Bullish	MACD SELL	81	18	32	89	33	-13	+12	+16	89	47	+1.32	–
Currencies	Swiss Franc	Neutral		63	33	50	74	46	-23	+10	+22	74	41	-0.25	–
Currencies	US Dollar	Neutral		59	44	39	53	38	+39	-30	-24	53	52	-0.97	–
Energies	Crude Oil	Bullish		89	16	32	87	33	+47	-38	-27	87	8	-0.20	–
Energies	Gasoline	Neutral		59	44	26	68	29	+22	-24	-23	68	36	+1.88	–
Energies	Heating Oil	Neutral		66	31	49	70	51	+45	-42	-17	70	36	-2.08	–
Energies	Natural Gas	Neutral		46	39	72	47	73	+32	-42	+17	47	33	+0.49	–
Equities	DOW	Bullish		94	13	10	95	9	+9	+10	-47	95	19	+0.89	–
Equities	Nasdaq	Neutral		22	62	68	29	68	-29	+9	+58	29	50	+1.47	–
Equities	Russell	Neutral		75	38	0	72	0	+14	+3	-37	72	69	+1.06	–
Equities	S&P 500	Bearish		15	81	58	28	44	-26	+31	-8	28	93	+2.30	–
Fixed Income	10-Year Note	Neutral	MACD BUY	73	31	60	73	61	+21	-21	+16	73	3	+0.83	–
Fixed Income	2-Year Note	Neutral		62	36	51	70	58	-9	+9	-14	70	52	-0.66	–
Fixed Income	30-Year Note	Neutral		13	79	83	6	75	+5	-4	+29	6	42	+1.08	–
Fixed Income	5-Year Note	Bullish		85	7	75	87	78	-11	+3	+30	87	7	+0.68	–
Grains	Corn	Neutral		30	69	39	24	39	+30	-31	+39	24	31	+1.48	–
Grains	Soybean	Neutral	MACD BUY	55	48	31	53	43	+12	-12	+3	53	69	+0.87	–
Grains	Soybean Meal	Bullish		85	15	25	85	26	+11	-16	+17	85	43	-0.33	–
Grains	Soybean Oil	Bullish		76	27	11	75	11	+49	-48	-42	75	0	+1.67	–
Grains	Wheat	Neutral		78	27	43	80	48	+59	-34	-47	80	27	-0.17	–
Live Stock	Feeder Cattle	Bearish		36	100	0	46	5	+15	+15	-15	46	100	+1.39	–
Live Stock	Lean Hogs	Bullish		100	0	94	100	92	+13	-12	+2	100	0	-1.71	–
Live Stock	Live Cattle	Neutral		57	40	70	65	74	+46	-45	+17	66	40	+0.40	–
Metals	Copper	Bearish		48	55	28	39	34	-6	+7	-6	39	100	+0.16	–
Metals	Gold	Neutral		70	29	76	70	58	+55	-55	+27	69	33	+0.37	–
Metals	Palladium	Neutral		65	32	83	72	65	+10	-12	+20	72	18	+0.89	–
Metals	Platinum	Neutral		33	74	8	27	11	-31	+29	-4	27	74	-0.47	–
Metals	Silver	Bearish	BEAR TOP	11	86	66	34	36	-39	+42	+8	34	100	+1.65	–
Softs	Cocoa	Bullish		100	0	0	100	0	+0	-3	-3	100	0	-1.09	–
Softs	Coffee	Bullish		100	0	10	99	8	+74	-68	-90	99	0	-0.43	–
Softs	Cotton	Neutral		75	23	53	78	58	-25	+23	-28	78	26	+1.28	–
Softs	Lumber	Bearish		29	71	38	25	44	-42	+39	-2	25	91	-0.47	–
Softs	Orange Juice	Bullish		100	0	37	100	44	+71	-97	+37	100	0	-1.79	–
Softs	Sugar	Neutral	MACD SELL	76	21	52	75	55	-23	+21	+27	75	50	+0.26	–

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