COT Signal Matrix — week of March 11, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday March 11, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Japanese Yen (bearish), Cocoa (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Gasoline (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), S&P 500 (bearish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Cocoa (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish31850540+4+8-1254100+0.14–
CryptoEthereumNeutral4164205616+26-17-85662+2.10–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutral6342305931-14+17+05927+2.60–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBearish5539624962-45+39+5549100+0.65–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish71356687-1-2+66890+0.36–
CurrenciesEuroBearish6435506051-31+32+2160100+0.90–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME01001001161-26+27+2911100+3.00–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearish7822416257-18+17+2362100-0.73–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish963198631+5-6+3879+3.33–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutral6123674370-25+2+364329+1.23–
CurrenciesUS DollarBearish1584582654-9+11+326100+0.41–
EnergiesCrude OilBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR9115279127+64-60-25916+0.19–
EnergiesGasolineBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR951259911+50-40-71990+2.12–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral3761653766+13-11+43771-1.67–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral2767552354+16-21+82368+1.21–
EquitiesDOWNeutral8017317735-20+14+47724-1.77–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutralMACD SELL86110016100-11-24+881649+1.67–
EquitiesRussellBearishBEAR TREND59464582+5+4-355885+0.37–
EquitiesS&P 500Bearish686751179-51+58+111100+0.74–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral5149655368+0-4+195353+0.09–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutral6731546455-3+3-116451-0.30–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral2271731465+22-24+281423+1.11–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish8410688672+1-5+218618+0.61–
GrainsCornNeutralMACD BUY2473461947+24-27+461940+1.58–
GrainsSoybeanNeutral5647295440+11-12+85466+0.66–
GrainsSoybean MealBullish94789412+6-8-119419-0.44–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral7033116912+39-39-33690+0.69–
GrainsWheatNeutral8124418746-19+24-598724-0.60–
Live StockFeeder CattleBearish541000570+45+2+057100+0.26–
Live StockLean HogsBullish1000100100100+27-15+01000-2.26–
Live StockLive CattleNeutral7422907183+65-68+677122-0.51–
MetalsCopperBearish5349354442-2+4-124484-0.14–
MetalsGoldBullish962998296+75-78+65820-0.21–
MetalsPalladiumNeutral6632767361+5-7+137317+0.93–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral5350494162-27+24+54150-0.70–
MetalsSilverBearish2476492438-52+53+2325100+0.34–
SoftsCocoaBullish100001000+32-49-341000-1.34–
SoftsCoffeeBullish1000278536+100-100-70850-0.75–
SoftsCottonBullish9010439449+1+5-559411+1.26–
SoftsLumberBearish3068422649-51+44+42686-0.52–
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish100001000+86-100+010027-1.22–
SoftsSugarBullish8513388541-13+12+128532+0.04–

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