Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday March 04, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Cocoa (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: DOW (bullish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Cocoa (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 51 | 65 | 0 | 66 | 0 | +13 | -2 | -8 | 66 | 79 | +0.12 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | 32 | 71 | 18 | 53 | 16 | +5 | +7 | -27 | 53 | 74 | +2.04 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Neutral | 64 | 42 | 26 | 67 | 22 | -14 | +16 | -1 | 67 | 27 | +0.17 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | MACD SELL | 67 | 31 | 41 | 59 | 41 | -33 | +31 | +41 | 59 | 65 | -0.81 | – |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bearish | 70 | 34 | 17 | 67 | 15 | -2 | -1 | +8 | 67 | 87 | +0.38 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | 74 | 26 | 38 | 70 | 43 | -22 | +21 | +24 | 70 | 100 | -0.10 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 88 | 0 | 61 | -32 | +32 | +24 | 0 | 100 | +1.92 | – |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Neutral | 87 | 15 | 18 | 74 | 26 | -13 | +15 | -12 | 74 | 69 | -1.13 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 13 | 97 | 25 | +4 | -4 | -3 | 97 | 0 | +2.46 | – |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 76 | 20 | 42 | 63 | 47 | -15 | -4 | +29 | 63 | 25 | +1.07 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | 24 | 75 | 52 | 32 | 52 | +6 | -1 | -16 | 32 | 90 | +0.32 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bullish | 91 | 9 | 46 | 92 | 45 | +79 | -87 | +12 | 92 | 0 | +0.58 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 62 | 43 | 15 | 68 | 19 | +25 | -17 | -66 | 68 | 0 | +1.39 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 29 | 70 | 64 | 29 | 65 | +14 | -15 | +9 | 29 | 82 | -1.77 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Bearish | 16 | 78 | 55 | 11 | 54 | +3 | -7 | +7 | 11 | 85 | +1.06 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 92 | 12 | 18 | 90 | 20 | +4 | +5 | -24 | 90 | 16 | -1.92 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 26 | 59 | 89 | 28 | 73 | -9 | +7 | +31 | 28 | 45 | +1.14 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | BEAR TREND | 60 | 47 | 0 | 58 | 0 | +18 | -3 | -54 | 58 | 78 | -0.35 | – |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bearish | MACD SELL | 24 | 66 | 72 | 26 | 84 | -40 | +46 | -3 | 26 | 98 | +0.07 | – |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 53 | 52 | 45 | 55 | 47 | +13 | -15 | +8 | 55 | 60 | +0.14 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Bearish | 64 | 34 | 55 | 62 | 61 | -2 | +3 | -10 | 62 | 93 | -0.46 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Neutral | 15 | 77 | 80 | 9 | 68 | +15 | -16 | +38 | 9 | 38 | +1.44 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 78 | 17 | 66 | 80 | 70 | -7 | +4 | +11 | 80 | 52 | +0.46 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | 16 | 82 | 34 | 11 | 34 | +16 | -18 | +34 | 11 | 60 | +1.72 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 62 | 42 | 26 | 60 | 37 | +14 | -13 | +1 | 60 | 51 | +0.70 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bullish | MACD BUY | 100 | 0 | 9 | 100 | 13 | +10 | -12 | -34 | 100 | 0 | -0.40 | – |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | MACD BUY | 57 | 44 | 47 | 56 | 49 | +19 | -22 | +35 | 56 | 14 | +0.38 | – |
| Grains | Wheat | Bullish | 89 | 12 | 83 | 100 | 93 | +32 | -17 | -17 | 100 | 12 | -1.04 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bearish | MACD BUY | 53 | 79 | 0 | 57 | 0 | +48 | -21 | +0 | 57 | 85 | +0.58 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bullish | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 100 | 0 | 99 | 100 | 97 | +51 | -47 | +2 | 100 | 0 | -1.25 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 91 | 100 | 82 | +88 | -91 | +91 | 100 | 13 | -0.49 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 58 | 44 | 33 | 50 | 41 | +6 | -5 | -12 | 50 | 58 | -0.38 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | EXHAUSTION | 89 | 11 | 84 | 54 | 97 | +72 | -71 | +34 | 54 | 13 | -0.77 | – |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 66 | 32 | 74 | 75 | 61 | +1 | -1 | +6 | 75 | 17 | +0.90 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | MACD BUY | 59 | 41 | 66 | 47 | 83 | -17 | +11 | +25 | 47 | 41 | -0.80 | – |
| Metals | Silver | Bearish | 44 | 54 | 46 | 31 | 48 | -24 | +20 | +24 | 31 | 93 | -0.56 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +57 | -63 | -51 | 100 | 0 | -2.13 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | 99 | 0 | 26 | 50 | 40 | +99 | -100 | -74 | 50 | 0 | -1.19 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 44 | 100 | 50 | +10 | -6 | -24 | 100 | 0 | +1.78 | – |
| Softs | Lumber | Bearish | 31 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 47 | -37 | +32 | +5 | 28 | 85 | -0.46 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 14 | 100 | 18 | +75 | -88 | +7 | 100 | 55 | -1.01 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 83 | 19 | 21 | 83 | 23 | -17 | +19 | +5 | 83 | 45 | +0.36 | – | |
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