Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday February 25, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: DOW (bullish), Cocoa (bullish), Coffee (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: DOW (bullish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Cocoa (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 57 | 56 | 0 | 70 | 0 | +31 | -24 | +0 | 70 | 67 | +0.68 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | 22 | 77 | 22 | 51 | 17 | +5 | +3 | -18 | 51 | 85 | +2.42 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Neutral | 61 | 44 | 31 | 67 | 26 | -21 | +23 | +7 | 67 | 29 | -0.57 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | LW MACO BULL | 80 | 20 | 26 | 75 | 25 | -20 | +20 | +26 | 75 | 34 | -0.85 | – |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bearish | 58 | 45 | 41 | 61 | 34 | -27 | +23 | +41 | 61 | 100 | +0.01 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Neutral | 81 | 20 | 31 | 76 | 36 | -17 | +14 | +31 | 76 | 74 | -0.64 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 91 | 6 | 66 | -40 | +38 | +52 | 6 | 100 | +1.56 | – |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | 81 | 21 | 15 | 63 | 22 | -16 | +19 | -3 | 63 | 100 | -1.05 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 98 | 1 | 33 | 99 | 35 | +1 | -2 | +16 | 99 | 2 | +1.98 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | MACD SELL | 83 | 14 | 37 | 70 | 43 | -5 | -20 | +32 | 70 | 17 | +1.16 | – |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | 21 | 79 | 46 | 28 | 49 | -6 | +12 | -20 | 28 | 95 | +0.20 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 81 | 19 | 47 | 79 | 48 | +69 | -81 | +28 | 79 | 0 | -0.20 | – |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 48 | 53 | 33 | 57 | 35 | +20 | -15 | -61 | 57 | 0 | +1.60 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 18 | 79 | 75 | 17 | 77 | +1 | -4 | +21 | 17 | 93 | -1.74 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Bearish | 10 | 83 | 57 | 7 | 57 | -10 | +1 | +25 | 7 | 91 | +0.71 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 100 | 1 | 24 | 100 | 26 | +21 | +0 | -48 | 100 | 1 | -1.39 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 20 | 70 | 74 | 21 | 62 | -49 | +40 | +51 | 21 | 61 | +1.14 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 80 | 19 | 22 | 79 | 29 | +58 | -54 | -22 | 79 | 27 | -0.93 | – |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 46 | 38 | 80 | 47 | 96 | -8 | -1 | +28 | 47 | 53 | -0.27 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 52 | 53 | 42 | 44 | 41 | +20 | -16 | -22 | 44 | 63 | +2.39 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Bearish | 61 | 36 | 60 | 40 | 53 | -18 | +14 | +8 | 40 | 100 | +0.62 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | BEAR TOP4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 98 | 72 | 0 | 49 | -10 | +13 | +32 | 0 | 94 | +2.57 | – |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bearish | 64 | 29 | 69 | 44 | 68 | -21 | +15 | +13 | 44 | 100 | +1.42 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | 3 | 96 | 10 | 0 | 14 | +3 | -4 | +10 | 0 | 92 | +2.13 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 56 | 48 | 20 | 54 | 34 | +7 | -6 | -7 | 54 | 67 | +0.88 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bullish | 97 | 7 | 4 | 98 | 6 | +6 | -4 | -42 | 98 | 18 | -0.55 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 37 | 64 | 65 | 34 | 69 | -4 | +0 | +65 | 34 | 42 | -0.23 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | 54 | 53 | 3 | 73 | 0 | -36 | +45 | -97 | 73 | 53 | -2.25 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Neutral | 47 | 64 | 30 | 51 | 47 | +47 | -36 | +30 | 51 | 79 | +0.68 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bullish | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 100 | 6 | 80 | 94 | 75 | +72 | -62 | -4 | 93 | 6 | -0.94 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | MACD BUYEXHAUSTION | 59 | 25 | 100 | 60 | 100 | +59 | -75 | +100 | 60 | 43 | -0.02 | – |
| Metals | Copper | Bearish | 53 | 50 | 36 | 43 | 44 | -5 | +6 | +6 | 43 | 86 | -0.27 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | MACD BUYEXHAUSTION | 67 | 34 | 66 | 48 | 63 | +19 | -22 | +46 | 48 | 40 | -0.21 | – |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 61 | 33 | 100 | 74 | 75 | -5 | +1 | +27 | 74 | 28 | +0.74 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 55 | 45 | 83 | 53 | 93 | -22 | +12 | +71 | 53 | 52 | -0.20 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Bearish | 46 | 53 | 43 | 60 | 24 | -32 | +24 | +43 | 60 | 90 | +1.20 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +27 | -46 | -20 | 100 | 0 | -2.32 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 100 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 25 | +100 | -100 | -78 | 46 | 0 | -1.62 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Bullish | 85 | 12 | 74 | 76 | 78 | -5 | +3 | +41 | 76 | 19 | +1.34 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Neutral | MACD SELL | 46 | 55 | 42 | 46 | 52 | -22 | +19 | +8 | 46 | 59 | -0.85 | – |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bullish | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 100 | 0 | 10 | 100 | 12 | +89 | -93 | -16 | 100 | 65 | -0.77 | – |
| Softs | Sugar | Neutral | 77 | 21 | 44 | 77 | 46 | -17 | +15 | +29 | 77 | 51 | +1.16 | – | |
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