Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday February 18, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: DOW (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Heating Oil (bearish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bullish), Russell (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 67 | 43 | 14 | 76 | 8 | +39 | -34 | +10 | 76 | 50 | +0.95 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | 14 | 88 | 9 | 50 | 13 | +13 | +2 | -34 | 50 | 100 | +2.75 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Neutral | 66 | 36 | 40 | 72 | 36 | -13 | +12 | +16 | 72 | 19 | -0.42 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bullish | 85 | 13 | 27 | 81 | 26 | -15 | +13 | +21 | 81 | 27 | -0.81 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bearish | 64 | 40 | 35 | 67 | 28 | -28 | +26 | +33 | 67 | 100 | +0.05 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bullish | 90 | 9 | 29 | 87 | 36 | -7 | +5 | +16 | 87 | 35 | -1.08 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bearish | 4 | 97 | 76 | 17 | 61 | -32 | +31 | +32 | 17 | 100 | +0.65 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bullish | 90 | 11 | 21 | 80 | 31 | -3 | +4 | +9 | 80 | 50 | -1.09 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 96 | 3 | 29 | 98 | 32 | -4 | +3 | +9 | 98 | 5 | +1.98 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bullish | 84 | 18 | 28 | 71 | 35 | +0 | -18 | +18 | 71 | 22 | +1.26 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | 16 | 84 | 44 | 24 | 45 | -29 | +34 | -21 | 24 | 100 | +0.26 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | 67 | 35 | 38 | 64 | 39 | +37 | -52 | +29 | 64 | 9 | -0.50 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | MACD BUY | 21 | 77 | 68 | 29 | 67 | -12 | +7 | +9 | 29 | 40 | +1.74 | – |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 12 | 80 | 93 | 10 | 95 | -22 | +16 | +43 | 10 | 94 | -1.74 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 35 | 64 | 43 | 31 | 44 | -15 | +11 | +24 | 31 | 69 | +0.57 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | EXHAUSTION | 100 | 0 | 46 | 100 | 49 | +52 | -19 | -54 | 100 | 0 | -1.23 | – |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bullish | 88 | 24 | 0 | 95 | 0 | +45 | -29 | -34 | 95 | 0 | +1.40 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Bullish | 92 | 5 | 32 | 91 | 43 | +71 | -66 | -32 | 91 | 6 | -1.09 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 52 | 35 | 70 | 53 | 85 | -13 | +9 | +15 | 53 | 31 | -0.29 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 55 | 52 | 36 | 47 | 35 | +10 | -4 | -33 | 47 | 61 | +2.60 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 82 | 20 | 44 | 72 | 38 | +14 | -9 | -24 | 72 | 63 | +0.46 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 47 | 1 | 33 | -15 | +21 | +6 | 1 | 100 | +2.08 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 80 | 20 | 41 | 57 | 38 | -6 | +7 | -18 | 57 | 100 | +1.99 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 0 | 1 | 12 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 1 | 100 | +3.03 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 54 | 49 | 29 | 51 | 47 | -10 | +11 | -18 | 51 | 71 | +1.70 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bullish | 85 | 17 | 39 | 86 | 29 | -5 | +3 | +13 | 86 | 41 | +0.57 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Bearish | MACD SELL | 20 | 80 | 76 | 19 | 78 | -36 | +33 | +76 | 19 | 62 | +0.73 | – |
| Grains | Wheat | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 0 | 100 | 48 | 0 | 51 | -88 | +88 | -43 | 0 | 79 | -1.54 | – |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bearish | 23 | 86 | 13 | 23 | 14 | +23 | -14 | +13 | 23 | 89 | +0.67 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | 36 | 54 | 85 | 27 | 89 | +4 | -12 | +12 | 27 | 54 | +0.30 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 33 | 61 | 80 | 32 | 100 | +33 | -39 | +80 | 32 | 66 | -0.02 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Bearish | 51 | 52 | 30 | 42 | 36 | -14 | +15 | +3 | 42 | 93 | +0.21 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | EXHAUSTION | 56 | 42 | 78 | 44 | 67 | -23 | +17 | +51 | 44 | 50 | +0.05 | – |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 50 | 47 | 80 | 63 | 61 | -20 | +20 | -2 | 63 | 64 | +0.97 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | MACD SELL | 50 | 60 | 22 | 51 | 21 | -20 | +19 | +22 | 51 | 76 | +0.23 | – |
| Metals | Silver | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 41 | 58 | 45 | 63 | 20 | -48 | +47 | +36 | 63 | 100 | +1.85 | – |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | 88 | 11 | 58 | 71 | 100 | -3 | -4 | +16 | 71 | 10 | -2.30 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | MACD BUY | 100 | 0 | 23 | 24 | 48 | +26 | -24 | -22 | 24 | 0 | -2.40 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Neutral | 71 | 23 | 100 | 62 | 100 | -18 | +13 | +75 | 62 | 35 | +1.89 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Neutral | 55 | 49 | 31 | 61 | 36 | -23 | +23 | -8 | 61 | 49 | -0.92 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 100 | 46 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +100 | -54 | -46 | 100 | 86 | +0.43 | – |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 94 | 4 | 33 | 94 | 34 | +13 | -15 | +7 | 94 | 10 | +1.47 | – | |
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