COT Signal Matrix — week of January 28, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday January 28, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: DOW (bullish), Coffee (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Soybean Meal (bullish), Silver (bullish), Coffee (bearish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP277712546-24+22-15495+1.08–
CryptoEthereumBearish1581284919-22+32-424992+2.98–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBullish7725308426+5-8+6845-0.24–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBullish100071006+11-15-111000-0.84–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarNeutralLW MACO BULL72370740-22+26-47459+0.28–
CurrenciesEuroBullish953299438-3-1+239410-1.54–
CurrenciesJapanese YenNeutral2673713762-1-3+373765-0.69–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBullish965189324+5-3+89318-1.39–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish919169726-9+9+139714+1.80–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBullish8621318238+34-65+31820+1.27–
CurrenciesUS DollarBearishEXHAUSTION2473553453-32+36-143496+0.63–
EnergiesCrude OilNeutral2775522953-31+19+502973-0.02–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral4552764676+14-28+48469+1.74–
EnergiesHeating OilBearish2472612456-57+40+612484-1.72–
EnergiesNatural GasBearish118847348-59+55+403100+0.54–
EquitiesDOWBullish10032710027+67-43-601002-0.72–
EquitiesNasdaqBearish1985121119+14-15-81184+0.48–
EquitiesRussellNeutral5442395750+38-32-42570-1.03–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral5728745797+15-7-265724-0.82–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral5153464947-1+4-264963+1.10–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearish7028655066-7+6+45091+0.61–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME09545034-17+27-180100+1.82–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish8315478149-2+0-58159+0.83–
GrainsCornBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP01000011-3+1-210100+3.11–
GrainsSoybeanBearish4559214438-33+36-5044100+1.37–
GrainsSoybean MealBullish881519894-12+15-538919+0.49–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral3172443045-10+9+373046+0.61–
GrainsWheatBullish100010085100+0+0+0850+1.52–
Live StockFeeder CattleBearish9980107+0-1+01098+1.55–
Live StockLean HogsNeutral731510047100+70-85+1004748-1.18–
Live StockLive CattleBearish990232259+9-10+72292+2.06–
MetalsCopperNeutral5545474554-5+6-34535+0.13–
MetalsGoldBearishMACD SELLMACRO BEAR SETUP218034490-49+46+134998+1.51–
MetalsPalladiumNeutralLW MACO BULL6139637756+1+2-167730+0.49–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral8026447166+16-10-257126-1.25–
MetalsSilverNeutral762326919-24+23+269123+2.11–
SoftsCocoaNeutral6849341852-32+49-231821-1.40–
SoftsCoffeeBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL4-YR SELL EXTREME010097389-93+99+303100+0.11–
SoftsCottonBullish895988292+3-9+83820+2.50–
SoftsLumberBullish8124389745+16-17+9970-0.57–
SoftsOrange JuiceBearish14100000+14+0-820100-0.76–
SoftsSugarBullish981269828+25-24-11981+1.73–

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