Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday February 04, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Cocoa (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Mexican Peso (bullish), DOW (bullish), Wheat (bearish), Cocoa (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | 41 | 68 | 0 | 60 | 0 | -19 | +20 | -9 | 60 | 84 | +0.86 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | 33 | 66 | 31 | 55 | 19 | -22 | +26 | -20 | 55 | 70 | +3.29 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bullish | 80 | 23 | 28 | 83 | 24 | +3 | -5 | +5 | 83 | 2 | +0.28 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bullish | LW MACO BULL | 93 | 6 | 18 | 91 | 17 | -4 | +6 | +4 | 91 | 11 | -0.88 | – |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Neutral | 77 | 27 | 20 | 74 | 18 | -12 | +12 | +9 | 74 | 54 | +0.51 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bullish | MACD SELL | 94 | 6 | 22 | 92 | 30 | -6 | +3 | +22 | 92 | 25 | -1.56 | – |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bearish | 18 | 81 | 87 | 26 | 77 | -12 | +6 | +65 | 26 | 92 | -0.36 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bullish | 92 | 10 | 13 | 84 | 18 | +3 | -1 | +7 | 84 | 38 | -1.23 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 94 | 6 | 16 | 100 | 24 | -6 | +6 | +6 | 100 | 10 | +1.75 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bullish | 86 | 23 | 28 | 81 | 36 | +21 | -43 | +25 | 81 | 3 | +1.29 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | EXHAUSTION | 20 | 74 | 63 | 30 | 60 | -32 | +33 | -8 | 30 | 98 | +0.44 | – |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | 42 | 54 | 59 | 40 | 60 | -8 | -13 | +59 | 40 | 51 | -0.29 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 37 | 68 | 49 | 38 | 52 | -1 | -3 | +20 | 38 | 40 | +1.28 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 21 | 73 | 66 | 21 | 64 | -39 | +16 | +65 | 21 | 86 | -1.89 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Bearish | 14 | 81 | 55 | 7 | 56 | -54 | +41 | +55 | 7 | 93 | +0.45 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 85 | 3 | 57 | 83 | 59 | +40 | -34 | -21 | 83 | 2 | -0.98 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 51 | 53 | 10 | 45 | 20 | +34 | -27 | -29 | 45 | 49 | +0.02 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | 61 | 35 | 37 | 65 | 49 | +45 | -37 | -47 | 65 | 0 | -1.10 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 41 | 50 | 66 | 40 | 84 | -22 | +25 | +2 | 40 | 47 | -0.57 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 52 | 52 | 44 | 51 | 45 | +20 | -14 | -28 | 51 | 61 | +1.16 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Bearish | 71 | 27 | 65 | 58 | 69 | -5 | +4 | +4 | 58 | 86 | +0.36 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | 8 | 83 | 54 | 7 | 42 | -12 | +8 | +17 | 7 | 67 | +1.81 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 96 | 4 | 45 | 95 | 46 | +12 | -12 | -12 | 95 | 16 | +1.02 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 13 | -3 | +0 | -9 | 0 | 100 | +3.13 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | 43 | 60 | 28 | 42 | 46 | -34 | +36 | -39 | 42 | 100 | +1.63 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Neutral | 74 | 31 | 8 | 76 | 0 | -26 | +31 | -49 | 76 | 40 | +0.82 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 27 | 75 | 53 | 26 | 54 | -23 | +22 | +47 | 26 | 52 | +1.03 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BULL | 19 | 61 | 90 | 0 | 92 | -81 | +61 | -10 | 0 | 32 | +0.65 | – |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bearish | 21 | 85 | 15 | 20 | 32 | +8 | -7 | +3 | 20 | 87 | +1.23 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | 87 | 12 | 92 | 48 | 91 | +81 | -81 | +54 | 48 | 45 | -0.94 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Bearish | 11 | 85 | 53 | 21 | 99 | +1 | -5 | +22 | 21 | 86 | +1.46 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | MACD SELL | 54 | 48 | 34 | 45 | 40 | -10 | +13 | -19 | 45 | 46 | +0.15 | – |
| Metals | Gold | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 15 | 84 | 49 | 14 | 25 | -71 | +68 | +0 | 14 | 100 | +0.56 | – |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 55 | 44 | 63 | 71 | 56 | -10 | +11 | -15 | 71 | 45 | +0.50 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 64 | 45 | 12 | 51 | 35 | +1 | +3 | -13 | 51 | 45 | -1.62 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BULL | 50 | 44 | 58 | 72 | 30 | -50 | +44 | +58 | 72 | 44 | +2.29 | – |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bullish | MACD BUY | 100 | 3 | 3 | 100 | 0 | +16 | -13 | -46 | 100 | 2 | +0.80 | – |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BULL | 26 | 68 | 100 | 21 | 100 | -49 | +44 | +59 | 21 | 68 | +0.19 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 81 | 86 | 76 | +11 | -10 | +65 | 86 | 0 | +2.92 | – |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | 71 | 32 | 40 | 82 | 48 | +5 | -7 | +8 | 82 | 17 | -0.58 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bearish | 29 | 97 | 0 | 29 | 0 | +29 | -3 | -34 | 30 | 98 | -0.50 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 99 | 0 | 25 | 98 | 27 | +22 | -23 | -6 | 98 | 0 | +1.84 | – | |
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