Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday January 21, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Coffee (bearish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Euro (bullish), DOW (bullish), Coffee (bearish), Sugar (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | 38 | 67 | 8 | 61 | 3 | -31 | +31 | -21 | 61 | 83 | +1.68 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | 27 | 64 | 45 | 53 | 24 | -40 | +38 | -20 | 53 | 67 | +3.24 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bullish | 78 | 26 | 27 | 85 | 22 | +48 | -56 | -2 | 85 | 6 | -0.29 | – | |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +27 | -29 | -18 | 100 | 0 | -0.65 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Neutral | LW MACO BULLMACD SELL | 72 | 35 | 9 | 74 | 4 | -23 | +24 | +9 | 74 | 35 | +0.32 | – |
| Currencies | Euro | Bullish | STEALTH BULL | 96 | 5 | 14 | 95 | 18 | -4 | +5 | +1 | 95 | 11 | -1.75 | – |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Neutral | 32 | 68 | 64 | 45 | 55 | +13 | -16 | +24 | 45 | 50 | -0.84 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bullish | LW MACO BULL | 100 | 0 | 30 | 100 | 42 | +4 | -3 | +17 | 100 | 0 | -1.37 | – |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 96 | 4 | 16 | 98 | 28 | -4 | +4 | +11 | 98 | 6 | +2.30 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bullish | 91 | 24 | 13 | 90 | 22 | +12 | -21 | +13 | 90 | 0 | +1.23 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | 18 | 76 | 68 | 35 | 61 | -77 | +76 | +7 | 35 | 100 | +1.26 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bearish | 12 | 96 | 34 | 22 | 32 | -66 | +65 | +22 | 22 | 95 | +1.40 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 37 | 60 | 81 | 42 | 80 | +12 | -23 | +36 | 42 | 46 | +1.95 | – |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 15 | 85 | 55 | 20 | 49 | -85 | +85 | +52 | 21 | 100 | -1.08 | – |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Bearish | 13 | 85 | 48 | 5 | 48 | -68 | +63 | +45 | 5 | 100 | +0.80 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 88 | 7 | 42 | 87 | 44 | +73 | -59 | -39 | 87 | 7 | -1.21 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 35 | 52 | 58 | 24 | 63 | +35 | -48 | +18 | 24 | 49 | -0.16 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | 42 | 50 | 54 | 42 | 68 | +28 | -22 | -45 | 42 | 0 | -0.81 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 64 | 20 | 75 | 64 | 98 | +3 | +3 | -21 | 64 | 15 | -0.82 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Bearish | 40 | 67 | 37 | 40 | 40 | -35 | +35 | -28 | 40 | 97 | +0.52 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Bearish | 66 | 31 | 65 | 48 | 68 | -9 | +8 | -2 | 48 | 100 | +0.49 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 93 | 42 | 1 | 33 | -18 | +22 | -12 | 1 | 100 | +1.72 | – |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 85 | 13 | 55 | 89 | 60 | -1 | -1 | -2 | 89 | 49 | +0.56 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 20 | +0 | +0 | -40 | 0 | 100 | +3.09 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | 48 | 55 | 25 | 47 | 40 | -24 | +27 | -45 | 47 | 100 | +1.28 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bullish | 90 | 12 | 43 | 91 | 34 | -5 | +8 | -34 | 91 | 12 | +0.27 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 38 | 66 | 12 | 37 | 12 | +6 | -3 | -45 | 37 | 36 | +0.42 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | 57 | 29 | 100 | 51 | 100 | -39 | +25 | +7 | 51 | 19 | +1.01 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 5 | 100 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +2 | +2 | +0 | 5 | 100 | +1.63 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Neutral | MACD BUY | 49 | 47 | 97 | 34 | 86 | +46 | -53 | +97 | 34 | 61 | -1.21 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 12 | 91 | 0 | 19 | 0 | +12 | -9 | +0 | 19 | 92 | +1.89 | – |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 52 | 49 | 45 | 40 | 56 | -4 | +6 | -6 | 40 | 38 | -0.38 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Bearish | 17 | 82 | 50 | 40 | 11 | -37 | +31 | +50 | 40 | 100 | +1.50 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | LW MACO BULL | 65 | 33 | 68 | 77 | 56 | +12 | -12 | -10 | 77 | 16 | +0.80 | – |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 76 | 30 | 41 | 66 | 64 | +18 | -9 | -51 | 66 | 30 | -1.34 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 68 | 34 | 22 | 77 | 10 | -32 | +34 | +4 | 77 | 34 | +1.79 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | MACD SELL | 43 | 63 | 51 | 42 | 50 | -57 | +57 | +1 | 42 | 27 | -1.36 | – |
| Softs | Coffee | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -100 | +100 | +64 | 0 | 100 | -1.11 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Bullish | 90 | 6 | 68 | 86 | 62 | +9 | -12 | +44 | 86 | 0 | +2.32 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | LW MACO BULL | 68 | 36 | 35 | 82 | 43 | +27 | -27 | +10 | 82 | 20 | -1.00 | – |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bearish | 25 | 88 | 7 | 10 | 10 | +17 | -10 | -71 | 10 | 93 | -0.64 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 16 | 100 | 18 | +37 | -36 | -30 | 100 | 0 | +1.63 | – |
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