COT Signal Matrix — week of January 21, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday January 21, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Coffee (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Euro (bullish), DOW (bullish), Coffee (bearish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish38678613-31+31-216183+1.68–
CryptoEthereumNeutral2764455324-40+38-205367+3.24–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBullish7826278522+48-56-2856-0.29–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBullish100001000+27-29-181000-0.65–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarNeutralLW MACO BULLMACD SELL72359744-23+24+97435+0.32–
CurrenciesEuroBullishSTEALTH BULL965149518-4+5+19511-1.75–
CurrenciesJapanese YenNeutral3268644555+13-16+244550-0.84–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBullishLW MACO BULL10003010042+4-3+171000-1.37–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish964169828-4+4+11986+2.30–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBullish9124139022+12-21+13900+1.23–
CurrenciesUS DollarBearish1876683561-77+76+735100+1.26–
EnergiesCrude OilBearish1296342232-66+65+222295+1.40–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral3760814280+12-23+364246+1.95–
EnergiesHeating OilBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL1585552049-85+85+5221100-1.08–
EnergiesNatural GasBearish138548548-68+63+455100+0.80–
EquitiesDOWBullish887428744+73-59-39877-1.21–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral3552582463+35-48+182449-0.16–
EquitiesRussellNeutral4250544268+28-22-45420-0.81–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral6420756498+3+3-216415-0.82–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteBearish4067374040-35+35-284097+0.52–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearish6631654868-9+8-248100+0.49–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME09342133-18+22-121100+1.72–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish8513558960-1-1-28949+0.56–
GrainsCornBearish01000020+0+0-400100+3.09–
GrainsSoybeanBearish4855254740-24+27-4547100+1.28–
GrainsSoybean MealBullish9012439134-5+8-349112+0.27–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral3866123712+6-3-453736+0.42–
GrainsWheatNeutral572910051100-39+25+75119+1.01–
Live StockFeeder CattleBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP5100050+2+2+05100+1.63–
Live StockLean HogsNeutralMACD BUY4947973486+46-53+973461-1.21–
Live StockLive CattleBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP12910190+12-9+01992+1.89–
MetalsCopperNeutral5249454056-4+6-64038-0.38–
MetalsGoldBearish1782504011-37+31+5040100+1.50–
MetalsPalladiumNeutralLW MACO BULL6533687756+12-12-107716+0.80–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral7630416664+18-9-516630-1.34–
MetalsSilverNeutral6834227710-32+34+47734+1.79–
SoftsCocoaNeutralMACD SELL4363514250-57+57+14227-1.36–
SoftsCoffeeBearishSTRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL01001000100-100+100+640100-1.11–
SoftsCottonBullish906688662+9-12+44860+2.32–
SoftsLumberBullishLW MACO BULL6836358243+27-27+108220-1.00–
SoftsOrange JuiceBearish258871010+17-10-711093-0.64–
SoftsSugarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10001610018+37-36-301000+1.63–

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