Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday May 12, 2026: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Australian Dollar (bearish), Nasdaq (bullish), Cotton (bearish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Bitcoin (bearish), Ethereum (bearish), Australian Dollar (bearish), Nasdaq (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Soybean Oil (bearish), Silver (bearish), Cotton (bearish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 4 | 75 | 100 | 9 | 100 | +0 | -25 | +82 | 9 | 31 | -1.03 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | 15 | 36 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -11 | -44 | +66 | 0 | 0 | +0.45 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 96 | 3 | 89 | +0 | +0 | -3 | 3 | 100 | +2.02 | – |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | 41 | 61 | 50 | 42 | 45 | -21 | +17 | +30 | 42 | 59 | +0.65 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Neutral | 27 | 73 | 77 | 28 | 75 | -9 | +8 | +16 | 28 | 54 | +0.28 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Neutral | 54 | 45 | 57 | 46 | 46 | -14 | +15 | +5 | 46 | 25 | +0.61 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bullish | 85 | 16 | 45 | 86 | 39 | -15 | +16 | -5 | 86 | 23 | +0.45 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Neutral | 39 | 59 | 86 | 32 | 82 | -7 | +6 | +17 | 32 | 15 | +0.24 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Neutral | 74 | 29 | 25 | 82 | 21 | +18 | -17 | -15 | 82 | 37 | +0.61 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 80 | 42 | 7 | 59 | 9 | +37 | -26 | -6 | 59 | 38 | +0.54 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | 39 | 53 | 92 | 33 | 93 | -2 | -2 | +6 | 33 | 80 | -0.40 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | MACD BUY | 36 | 67 | 49 | 38 | 48 | +22 | -22 | -11 | 38 | 53 | +1.24 | – |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 55 | 35 | 84 | 41 | 100 | +15 | -19 | +18 | 41 | 2 | -1.01 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Neutral | 90 | 0 | 92 | 57 | 97 | +11 | -18 | +41 | 57 | 0 | -1.44 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 82 | 21 | 58 | 80 | 58 | +8 | -7 | -11 | 80 | 70 | +0.97 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Neutral | 33 | 72 | 47 | 38 | 41 | -7 | +8 | -30 | 38 | 56 | +0.92 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 31 | 100 | 31 | +31 | -33 | +22 | 100 | 0 | +0.28 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | 49 | 61 | 11 | 47 | 11 | +5 | -3 | +4 | 47 | 44 | +0.79 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 80 | 34 | 44 | 80 | 35 | +70 | -66 | +44 | 80 | 33 | +0.39 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 62 | 45 | 23 | 42 | 21 | -4 | +2 | +6 | 42 | 28 | +1.95 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Bullish | 84 | 18 | 10 | 77 | 8 | -16 | +18 | +10 | 77 | 27 | +1.66 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bullish | 98 | 0 | 27 | 98 | 31 | +51 | -60 | -22 | 98 | 0 | -0.04 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 12 | 0 | 11 | -20 | +16 | +2 | 0 | 100 | +0.27 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 21 | 86 | 0 | 18 | 0 | +3 | +7 | -39 | 18 | 89 | +1.52 | – |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | MACD BUY | 10 | 93 | 0 | 9 | 18 | +2 | -1 | -7 | 9 | 95 | +1.76 | – |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bearish | 5 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 13 | +0 | +1 | -62 | 3 | 98 | +0.58 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Bearish | 5 | 94 | 78 | 5 | 80 | +5 | -6 | -18 | 5 | 90 | +0.46 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Bearish | 48 | 49 | 35 | 50 | 34 | +48 | -51 | -51 | 50 | 81 | -0.69 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bullish | EXHAUSTION | 94 | 0 | 100 | 92 | 86 | +72 | -100 | +100 | 92 | 0 | -1.58 | – |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | +8 | -6 | +10 | 100 | 0 | -0.83 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 52 | 60 | 0 | 67 | 11 | +37 | -40 | +0 | 67 | 60 | +1.52 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 70 | 0 | 74 | -41 | +41 | +6 | 0 | 100 | +1.18 | – |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | MACD SELL | 84 | 16 | 32 | 39 | 88 | -11 | +12 | -15 | 39 | 31 | -0.94 | – |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 22 | 79 | 64 | 24 | 70 | +4 | -6 | +6 | 24 | 0 | +0.09 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 0 | 100 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -69 | +62 | +4 | 5 | 100 | -0.51 | – |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 76 | 19 | 31 | 0 | 96 | -22 | +10 | +31 | 0 | 100 | -1.31 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 0 | 100 | 51 | 0 | 53 | -94 | +100 | -49 | 0 | 100 | -0.48 | – |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 78 | 27 | 27 | 93 | 29 | +76 | -70 | -72 | 93 | 47 | +1.51 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0 | 100 | +0.82 | – |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | MACD SELL | 94 | 7 | 41 | 98 | 40 | +10 | -9 | -2 | 98 | 24 | +0.67 | – |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Neutral | 48 | 42 | 76 | 53 | 75 | +10 | -43 | +75 | 53 | 61 | +0.80 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bearish | 65 | 34 | 53 | 70 | 48 | +4 | -5 | +0 | 70 | 83 | +1.00 | – | |
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