COT Signal Matrix — week of May 05, 2026

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday May 05, 2026: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Australian Dollar (bearish), Cotton (bearish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Australian Dollar (bearish), Nasdaq (bullish), 2-Year Note (bullish), Soybean Meal (bearish), Soybean Oil (bearish), Silver (bearish), Cotton (bearish).

Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5Positioning · NPF CS 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexLrg IndexSml IndexComm IndexSml IndexComm MoveLrg MoveSml MoveWILLCOInst SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinNeutral1978542461+19-22+172451-1.08
CryptoEthereumNeutral5250562637+16-16+3260+0.36
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearishMACD BUYMACRO BEAR SETUP29896491+2-2+8497+1.86
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral6333496944+1-5+66929+0.51
CurrenciesCanadian DollarNeutral2674742773+6-7-52756+0.00
CurrenciesEuroNeutral5642614752-9+9+74721+0.49
CurrenciesJapanese YenNeutral7623547948-17+20-177935+0.31
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutral4057883384+9-11+17339+0.21
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish8614459537+33-34+3955+0.58
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutralMACD BUY72515487+50-30-214848+0.56
CurrenciesUS DollarNeutral4847774478+6-8+04460-0.36
EnergiesCrude OilNeutral3272513351+28-27-133365+1.09
EnergiesGasolineNeutral5141743097+14-15-23011-1.36
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral946715486+35-33+18549-1.87
EnergiesNatural GasBearishBEAR TREND7728457545+0+4-277593+1.00
EquitiesDOWNeutral16791002298-31+21+262270+0.43
EquitiesNasdaqBullish936379337+7-2+139312+0.26
EquitiesRussellNeutral45656426-8+10+64245+0.77
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral5560325628+29-40+215659-0.11
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral6640355535+21-20+105518+0.72
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBullish92911889-8+9+38813+1.50
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBullish10002210026+65-79-191000-0.10
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish310014014-10+9+140100-0.15
GrainsCornBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP29434030-8+8-50100+1.68
GrainsSoybeanBearishMACD SELL69526539-5+4+185100+1.60
GrainsSoybean MealBearish79291491+7-8-9490+0.18
GrainsSoybean OilBearish09989092-2+1+4098+0.54
GrainsWheatBearish354210038100+35-57+303881-1.20
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutralEXHAUSTION5444514235+8-14+14244-1.51
Live StockLean HogsBullish1000100100100+20-23+531000-1.15
Live StockLive CattleBearish893402862-65+64-122893+2.33
MetalsCopperBearish119462171-35+39+2198+0.08
MetalsGoldNeutral957125370+2-2-15538-1.18
MetalsPalladiumNeutral2282462559+4-2-19250-0.13
MetalsPlatinumNeutral406762521-28+30-42567-1.02
MetalsSilverNeutral909200100-4-2+20050-1.78
SoftsCocoaNeutralSTRUCTURAL BULL6033904992-40+27+244933+0.76
SoftsCoffeeBearish010074075-33+33+3077+0.79
SoftsCottonBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME01001000100+0+0+80100+0.79
SoftsLumberBullish955459842+4-5+169819+0.96
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish8917688570+48-57+498545-0.93
SoftsSugarBearish6633517146+0+1-77184+1.12

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