COT Signal Matrix — week of November 18, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday November 18, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: British Pound (bullish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Cocoa (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Canadian Dollar (bullish), Japanese Yen (bullish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Cocoa (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinNeutral5250515252-19+18-45273-0.93–
CryptoEthereumBearish178645916-13+22-30978+1.86–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBullish7718658070+22-16-268050-0.39–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBullish10010990+33-37-16992+1.73–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBullish9010189520-6+4+189513+1.01–
CurrenciesEuroBearish1886611751+11-9-181749+1.42–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullish10001010010+0+0+81000-0.27–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearishMACD SELL2277801573-14+14+615100+1.31–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish928218924+29-28-10890+2.09–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutral6524497846+25-43+47830-0.03–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish980708873+0-1+25880+1.15–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish8913308932-11+13-348929-0.65–
EnergiesGasolineBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL4-YR SELL EXTREME010086078-47+61+170100+0.75–
EnergiesHeating OilBearish69979972-13+19+2996+0.94–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral6528557660-12+4+307632-1.00–
EquitiesDOWBullish100010097100+11-8+22970-0.43–
EquitiesNasdaqBearish3831008100+3-17+36883+0.77–
EquitiesRussellNeutral5534936189-2-3+146170-0.69–
EquitiesS&P 500Bearish3645893986-18+6-113988+0.13–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral4647843077-5+4-13094+2.57–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutral7124625749+16-22+245727+1.46–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral3043842784+9-3-162745+0.70–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish8119587350+10-7-227371+1.74–
GrainsCornBearish4751653954-28+27-1239100+-0.00–
GrainsSoybeanBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010037048-30+29-160100+1.88–
GrainsSoybean MealBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL010030038-80+69+160100-0.76–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral6433526547+16-25+336615+2.90–
GrainsWheatBearish0100600+0+4-590100-1.71–
Live StockFeeder CattleBullish10009810098+20-38+421000-1.28–
Live StockLean HogsBullish10004610028+79-87+461000-1.65–
Live StockLive CattleBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR1000100100100+80-89+761000-1.51–
MetalsCopperBearish257285877-3+3-4888+0.46–
MetalsGoldNeutral5445905083+19-22+125037+0.33–
MetalsPalladiumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME09887179-15+25-51100+0.83–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral312910033100-42-8+603329-0.50–
MetalsSilverBullish963278963+16-6-73894-1.46–
SoftsCocoaBullishMACD BUY100001000+0-38+01000+0.02–
SoftsCoffeeNeutral92240249+81-69-682468-2.08–
SoftsCottonNeutralMACD SELL5739335839-39+32+115870+0.95–
SoftsLumberBullish9292710024+14-12+111000+0.59–
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME1000100100100+0+0+1001000+1.21–
SoftsSugarBullish973139714+3-3-16979+1.19–

COT Analyzer · free weekly Commitments of Traders charts and signals · get this report by email