COT Signal Matrix — week of November 10, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday November 10, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Canadian Dollar (bullish), Swiss Franc (bullish), Gasoline (bearish), Heating Oil (bearish), Nasdaq (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Canadian Dollar (bullish), Japanese Yen (bullish), Mexican Peso (bearish), Swiss Franc (bullish), Gasoline (bearish), Heating Oil (bearish), DOW (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Copper (bearish), Platinum (bearish), Cocoa (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish4560404440+0+5-1244100-0.82–
CryptoEthereumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010054017+0+0+70100+1.95–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBullish8016618265+18-14-168244-0.40–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBullish100021002+29-33-301000+1.68–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBullish100201005+21-24+01002+1.41–
CurrenciesEuroNeutral3073542943+23-22-26290+1.51–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullish938119311-7+8+119321-0.79–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP3167861680-2+1+51681+0.74–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish8614248426+27-27-3840+2.14–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBullish100021003+65-74-491000+0.91–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish981598965-2+1+14894+0.93–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish948319332+8-2-499318-0.13–
EnergiesGasolineBearish01001000100-28+45+100100-0.34–
EnergiesHeating OilBearishMACD SELL010098095-4+7+100100+0.32–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral6826537757+7-15+257726-0.61–
EquitiesDOWBullishEXHAUSTION884968698-12+4+24867-0.56–
EquitiesNasdaqBearish09298495-3-4+39492+0.67–
EquitiesRussellBearish4841875383-1-4+55389-0.64–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral383910043100-36+9+384376-0.27–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral5839764473+17-9-184463+2.06–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutral6933355325+16-15-45352+1.65–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral2249911992-11+11-11957+0.69–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish8614638056+14-12-118052+1.55–
GrainsCornBearish5740795073-16+15+050100-0.09–
GrainsSoybeanBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010048055-43+43-240100+1.39–
GrainsSoybean MealBearish010026031-79+67+120100-0.42–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral7723257624+19-24+10760+2.81–
GrainsWheatBearish0100000-43+53-970100-0.99–
Live StockFeeder CattleBullish93010091100-7+0+0910-1.69–
Live StockLean HogsBullish10009610085+100-100+741000-1.40–
Live StockLive CattleNeutral100010079100+50-65+100790-1.65–
MetalsCopperBearish157998485-20+16+20498+0.90–
MetalsGoldNeutral52431004195+39-44+94134-0.04–
MetalsPalladiumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME09682477-20+26-54100+0.74–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral1159841387-46+0+771359-0.97–
MetalsSilverBullish10003810047+36-25-471000-0.74–
SoftsCocoaBullish73454803-27+21+48019+0.52–
SoftsCoffeeBearish1886522151+0+2-212294+0.86–
SoftsCottonNeutral6429546057-15+6+346041+1.48–
SoftsLumberBullish8711279228+6-6+8920+0.97–
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10004510052+0-20+371000+1.59–
SoftsSugarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10001110012+7-8-71000+1.11–

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