COT Signal Matrix — week of July 14, 2026

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday July 14, 2026: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bullish), New Zealand (bullish), DOW (bearish), S&P 500 (bearish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bullish), New Zealand (bullish), US Dollar (bearish), DOW (bearish), S&P 500 (bearish), Soybean Oil (bearish), Coffee (bearish).

Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5Positioning · NPF CS 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexLrg IndexSml IndexComm IndexSml IndexComm MoveLrg MoveSml MoveWILLCOInst SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish1289331724+12-9-201773-1.57-2.9%
CryptoEthereumNeutral1777291432+11-23+211465-0.51-20.0%
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutralLW MACO BULL5838725084+34-38-3500-0.11+3.6%
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutralLW MACO BULL6238416934+4-14+216955+0.17-0.3%
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBullish100001000+34-33-441000+1.46+2.9%
CurrenciesEuroNeutral7625296921+19-24+11696+0.18-0.7%
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullishMACD SELL8419319425-16+19-219435+0.39-4.5%
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearish3167592864-11+16-412881+0.32
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish97359315+40-43-20937+1.68
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutralLW MACO BULL78389649-5-21+96437+0.73-0.1%
CurrenciesUS DollarBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP489871691-33+34-41699+2.42-0.8%
EnergiesCrude OilBullish8612418345+46-48-21830-1.53-5.3%
EnergiesGasolineNeutral6035464359+1-1-44351-0.86-10.8%
EnergiesHeating OilBearish7326725378-17+21-145385-0.91
EnergiesNatural GasNeutral8121447943-8+7+47965+1.40+4.3%
EquitiesDOWBearishEXHAUSTION010064085-32+34-190100+0.10-0.8%
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral6739386938-33+38+196951+0.33-0.5%
EquitiesRussellNeutral6823676764+16-35+566746-0.28-0.2%
EquitiesS&P 500Bearish09891088-100+98+28098-0.53-0.4%
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral6251106112-4-1+106161+0.32+0.3%
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearish3277203117-27+25+2031100+0.22+0.0%
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBullish878428946+2-8+138912-0.17-0.2%
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish2100171317-6+3-113100-1.33-1.8%
GrainsCornNeutral5146794477+3-11+474419+0.11-4.5%
GrainsSoybeanNeutral2971372650+14-14-52631+1.73-9.8%
GrainsSoybean MealNeutral3860863593+34-38+313535+0.61
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral2672762084+15-18+192016-1.44
GrainsWheatNeutralSTRUCTURAL BULL2971352836-71+71+142871-0.62-11.8%
Live StockFeeder CattleBullish1000100100100+0-4+161000+0.78
Live StockLean HogsBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME100099100100+0+0+81000-1.76
Live StockLive CattleBullish100010097100+5-27+100970-1.43
MetalsCopperBearish1881621765+18-19-31763+0.99-4.2%
MetalsGoldBearish7433194713-8+11+194781-0.08-0.3%
MetalsPalladiumNeutral4560394955+19-19-8490+0.23+0.5%
MetalsPlatinumBullish1000188829+69-59-56880-1.75+20.0%
MetalsSilverNeutral4252561370-33+38+101349-0.65+2.3%
SoftsCocoaBearish010080079-51+41+710100+0.97
SoftsCoffeeBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL010088090-100+100+120100-1.50
SoftsCottonBearish69672475-7+6+10487+0.09
SoftsLumberBearish3562792682-54+51+262698-1.62+1.4%
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish960100100100-4+0+1001000+1.93
SoftsSugarBearish5150455838-11+12+55897+1.33-7.7%

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