Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday June 16, 2026: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: DOW (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: US Dollar (bearish), DOW (bearish), Nasdaq (bullish), Wheat (bullish), Coffee (bullish), Orange Juice (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | 4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 49 | 0 | 45 | -19 | +22 | -5 | 0 | 100 | -1.32 | +11.0% |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | 15 | 82 | 24 | 9 | 25 | -37 | +32 | -32 | 9 | 73 | -0.10 | +48.7% | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Neutral | EXHAUSTION | 46 | 52 | 71 | 39 | 68 | +44 | -46 | -25 | 39 | 0 | +1.74 | +2.2% |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | MACD BUY | 77 | 27 | 22 | 72 | 24 | +14 | -6 | -27 | 72 | 31 | +1.41 | +0.8% |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bullish | 90 | 9 | 12 | 60 | 32 | +64 | -65 | -62 | 60 | 0 | +3.95 | +2.7% | |
| Currencies | Euro | Neutral | 60 | 43 | 33 | 53 | 18 | +4 | +1 | -28 | 53 | 29 | +1.18 | +2.1% | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 27 | 100 | 24 | +24 | -23 | -27 | 100 | 0 | +2.30 | +12.6% | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Neutral | 31 | 66 | 66 | 47 | 60 | -9 | +9 | -22 | 47 | 77 | +2.16 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 83 | 19 | 28 | 66 | 33 | -3 | +5 | -17 | 66 | 13 | +2.62 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bullish | 100 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 12 | +28 | -29 | -5 | 0 | 8 | +3.56 | +1.3% | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | MACD SELLMACRO BEAR SETUP | 6 | 89 | 93 | 15 | 87 | -42 | +42 | +16 | 15 | 100 | +2.33 | – |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Neutral | 50 | 44 | 80 | 49 | 83 | +18 | -28 | +29 | 49 | 0 | +0.18 | +4.5% | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 69 | 26 | 42 | 50 | 58 | +18 | -15 | -32 | 50 | 11 | -1.22 | -16.9% | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bullish | 100 | 6 | 60 | 82 | 64 | +6 | +0 | -11 | 82 | 13 | -0.93 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 80 | 25 | 35 | 80 | 34 | +3 | -3 | -10 | 80 | 82 | +1.13 | -57.4% | |
| Equities | DOW | Bearish | BEAR TOPMACD SELL | 0 | 95 | 100 | 11 | 92 | -16 | +16 | +0 | 11 | 100 | +2.98 | -0.1% |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bullish | 87 | 11 | 36 | 87 | 32 | -6 | +5 | -1 | 87 | 17 | +2.02 | -23.7% | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | 63 | 30 | 51 | 59 | 45 | +18 | -35 | +45 | 59 | 57 | +2.63 | -35.7% | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bullish | 69 | 15 | 94 | 64 | 48 | +14 | -45 | +62 | 64 | 15 | +3.14 | -0.4% | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | 80 | 38 | 7 | 73 | 8 | +14 | -2 | -28 | 73 | 0 | +0.43 | -3.6% | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Bearish | 45 | 62 | 19 | 53 | 18 | -47 | +53 | +8 | 53 | 90 | -0.40 | -4.9% | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bullish | 80 | 16 | 41 | 81 | 40 | -20 | +16 | +19 | 81 | 16 | +1.01 | +13.0% | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bearish | 3 | 98 | 30 | 14 | 31 | +0 | -2 | +16 | 14 | 96 | -1.35 | +0.7% | |
| Grains | Corn | Neutral | 63 | 37 | 71 | 57 | 74 | +61 | -57 | +37 | 57 | 0 | +1.76 | +0.3% | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 32 | 70 | 25 | 29 | 42 | +26 | -25 | -1 | 29 | 0 | +2.02 | -1.1% | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Neutral | 54 | 44 | 75 | 55 | 70 | +47 | -48 | -16 | 55 | 0 | +1.68 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 25 | 77 | 33 | 23 | 36 | +25 | -22 | -56 | 23 | 45 | -0.32 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Bullish | 92 | 12 | 0 | 94 | 0 | +57 | -30 | -100 | 94 | 12 | -0.57 | -21.5% | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Neutral | 85 | 23 | 50 | 82 | 37 | +31 | -21 | -1 | 82 | 23 | -1.21 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 80 | 100 | 77 | +0 | +0 | -20 | 100 | 0 | -1.69 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 35 | 62 | 73 | 25 | 70 | +27 | -31 | +33 | 25 | 62 | -1.08 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Bearish | 5 | 96 | 61 | 8 | 63 | -6 | +2 | -1 | 8 | 92 | +1.46 | -20.2% | |
| Metals | Gold | Bearish | 80 | 27 | 1 | 14 | 0 | -15 | +20 | -11 | 14 | 100 | -1.14 | -40.6% | |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 31 | 73 | 45 | 35 | 61 | +9 | -9 | -1 | 35 | 5 | -0.01 | +33.5% | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 98 | 18 | 24 | 68 | 36 | +58 | -49 | +18 | 68 | 11 | -0.31 | +17.8% | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 77 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 66 | -13 | +17 | +14 | 22 | 63 | -0.66 | +51.2% | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | 65 | 26 | 62 | 72 | 63 | +5 | -7 | -28 | 72 | 26 | -1.13 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Bullish | 88 | 14 | 0 | 87 | 9 | +88 | -86 | -74 | 87 | 14 | +0.20 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bearish | 18 | 86 | 49 | 13 | 53 | +18 | -14 | -51 | 13 | 82 | -0.33 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 44 | 54 | 70 | 43 | 65 | -51 | +49 | +25 | 43 | 100 | -0.63 | +1.1% |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bullish | 99 | 8 | 3 | 97 | 1 | +10 | -9 | -65 | 97 | 12 | -0.48 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Neutral | 65 | 36 | 34 | 71 | 29 | -1 | +3 | -17 | 71 | 71 | +1.54 | -14.4% | |
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