COT Signal Matrix — week of March 17, 2026

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday March 17, 2026: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Soybean Meal (bearish), Silver (bullish), Cotton (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Australian Dollar (bearish), Canadian Dollar (bearish), Japanese Yen (bullish), Crude Oil (bearish), 2-Year Note (bullish), Soybean Meal (bearish), Soybean Oil (bearish), Copper (bearish), Palladium (bearish), Cotton (bearish), Orange Juice (bearish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish09854060-21+17+90100-1.18–
CryptoEthereumNeutral3766492023+3-4+9207+1.07–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP4-YR SELL EXTREME010091089-1+5+20100+1.92–
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutralLW MACO BULL7030358630+35-33-468627-0.20–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish1782881788+17-18-121781+0.10–
CurrenciesEuroNeutral6138535150+61-62-38510-0.01–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullishMACD BUYLW MACO BULL10001810012+18-16-341000-0.24–
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutral3563892189+20-20-3210-0.09–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBearish4755406833-25+28-1068100-0.50–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBearishCOMM CAPITULATION1490254723-53+74-7447100-1.04–
CurrenciesUS DollarBearish4155833885-18+13+4638100+-0.00–
EnergiesCrude OilBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL692871186-49+49+121195+1.41–
EnergiesGasolineNeutralMACD BUY226510021100-3-3+02121-0.08–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral44536721100+22-32+122119-2.89–
EnergiesNatural GasBullishMACD SELL8020748478-6+4+408428-0.29–
EquitiesDOWBearish2681673351-1-7+313380+1.33–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral6139196218-29+39-416247+0.45–
EquitiesRussellBullish59490600+49-37-70600+2.32–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral3878334311+4+14-424373+2.04–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteBearish3865283028-16+15-163084+0.58–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME1001209010+16-23+1900+1.69–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBearish2781542659-6+12+42662-0.37–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish4360154114-27+27-1641100+0.10–
GrainsCornBearish2077431333-49+48-4413100+0.95–
GrainsSoybeanBearish99316831-34+35-31887+1.88–
GrainsSoybean MealBearish0100100094-44+40+870100-0.60–
GrainsSoybean OilBearishBEAR TOP4-YR SELL EXTREME010094085-38+35+550100+1.72–
GrainsWheatBearish68872575-54+46+19588-0.47–
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutral49714440+49-29-144472-0.51–
Live StockLean HogsNeutralSTRUCTURAL BEAR4361204322+43-39+204367+0.40–
Live StockLive CattleBullishMACD BUY87145310049+79-62-2710025+0.39–
MetalsCopperNeutral2871731884+4+0-171810-0.01–
MetalsGoldNeutral981507780-2+1-39771-1.20–
MetalsPalladiumBearish99175883+5-8+13821-0.16–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral564326074-44+43-44043-1.22–
MetalsSilverNeutral100056580+6-7-47650-1.96–
SoftsCocoaNeutral9312677674+15-4-337612+1.18–
SoftsCoffeeNeutral6536456546-35+36+376532+0.49–
SoftsCottonBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL01001000100-53+59+520100+1.25–
SoftsLumberBullish936669660+16-17+309620+0.95–
SoftsOrange JuiceBearish010084094+0+0-110100-0.78–
SoftsSugarBullish889439238-12+9+439240+1.71–

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