Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday March 03, 2026: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Nasdaq (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Australian Dollar (bearish), Gasoline (bearish), Heating Oil (bearish), Nasdaq (bullish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Copper (bearish), Coffee (bullish), Cotton (bearish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | 24 | 81 | 38 | 22 | 36 | -11 | +17 | -19 | 22 | 74 | -2.01 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | 38 | 69 | 23 | 18 | 12 | +14 | -6 | -34 | 18 | 20 | +0.81 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP4-YR SELL EXTREME | 0 | 100 | 83 | 0 | 81 | -25 | +35 | -17 | 0 | 100 | +2.24 | – |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | 77 | 23 | 36 | 85 | 33 | +35 | -33 | -35 | 85 | 26 | +0.65 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bearish | 3 | 97 | 83 | 5 | 79 | -4 | -2 | +25 | 5 | 96 | -0.33 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | 18 | 83 | 76 | 15 | 56 | -4 | +4 | +9 | 15 | 49 | +1.57 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Neutral | 79 | 21 | 41 | 72 | 42 | -19 | +21 | +15 | 72 | 35 | +1.72 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Neutral | 28 | 71 | 75 | 36 | 66 | +27 | -27 | -13 | 36 | 0 | +1.44 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bearish | 62 | 36 | 60 | 75 | 53 | -29 | +28 | +25 | 75 | 82 | +0.34 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Bullish | 78 | 14 | 45 | 51 | 52 | -22 | +10 | +18 | 51 | 24 | +1.80 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Neutral | 70 | 31 | 47 | 71 | 52 | -3 | +4 | -6 | 71 | 68 | -0.85 | – | |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 22 | 68 | 100 | 28 | 100 | -59 | +48 | +51 | 28 | 100 | +1.40 | – |
| Energies | Gasoline | Bearish | 9 | 86 | 95 | 18 | 95 | -27 | +25 | +20 | 18 | 68 | +0.65 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Neutral | 29 | 73 | 76 | 19 | 93 | -6 | +2 | +28 | 19 | 21 | -2.02 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 79 | 100 | 80 | +0 | +0 | +36 | 100 | 0 | +0.35 | – |
| Equities | DOW | Neutral | 34 | 78 | 42 | 40 | 38 | -1 | +8 | -29 | 40 | 78 | -0.70 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +26 | -14 | -61 | 100 | 0 | -0.59 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | MACD BUY | 29 | 74 | 4 | 31 | 7 | +29 | -26 | -42 | 31 | 68 | +0.01 | – |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 66 | 40 | 37 | 75 | 29 | +61 | -60 | -41 | 75 | 24 | +0.37 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Bearish | EXHAUSTION | 48 | 59 | 29 | 36 | 30 | +7 | +1 | -23 | 36 | 100 | +1.05 | – |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 81 | 28 | 23 | 74 | 16 | +21 | -17 | -2 | 74 | 34 | +0.70 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | 6 | 86 | 81 | 0 | 86 | -22 | +21 | +17 | 0 | 100 | +0.09 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bearish | 64 | 37 | 42 | 63 | 41 | -3 | +3 | +1 | 63 | 93 | +0.35 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | MACD SELL | 51 | 47 | 73 | 43 | 65 | -20 | +20 | -16 | 43 | 82 | -0.07 | – |
| Grains | Soybean | Bearish | MACD SELLMACRO BEAR SETUP | 9 | 93 | 8 | 9 | 25 | -34 | +36 | -48 | 9 | 84 | +2.09 | – |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 75 | 0 | 73 | -61 | +57 | +52 | 0 | 100 | -1.00 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 11 | 91 | 81 | 16 | 74 | -48 | +47 | +60 | 16 | 100 | +1.53 | – |
| Grains | Wheat | Bearish | 10 | 87 | 38 | 13 | 39 | -90 | +87 | -60 | 13 | 87 | -1.61 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Neutral | 67 | 54 | 5 | 66 | 15 | -6 | +38 | -73 | 66 | 54 | +0.74 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 15 | 87 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -29 | +31 | -9 | 14 | 87 | +1.11 | – |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 29 | 78 | 35 | 40 | 50 | -27 | +41 | -56 | 40 | 78 | +1.76 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Bearish | 14 | 86 | 77 | 8 | 84 | -3 | +13 | -23 | 8 | 60 | +0.51 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | 96 | 1 | 84 | 73 | 95 | +82 | -75 | -13 | 73 | 1 | -1.43 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Bearish | 8 | 93 | 72 | 6 | 79 | +7 | -5 | -13 | 6 | 41 | -0.06 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Neutral | 83 | 16 | 41 | 44 | 79 | -17 | +16 | -42 | 44 | 16 | -1.23 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 100 | 4 | 7 | 55 | 87 | +0 | +4 | -64 | 55 | 5 | -2.73 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bullish | 89 | 5 | 100 | 71 | 95 | -11 | +5 | +10 | 71 | 5 | +1.89 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 18 | 100 | 19 | +41 | -49 | +18 | 100 | 0 | -0.10 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bearish | 2 | 93 | 93 | 3 | 90 | -17 | +21 | +16 | 3 | 92 | +1.10 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 48 | 100 | 46 | +21 | -19 | +0 | 100 | 0 | +1.51 | – |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bearish | 25 | 81 | 39 | 24 | 42 | +24 | -19 | +39 | 24 | 88 | -1.15 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 97 | 2 | 25 | 99 | 22 | +1 | -3 | +20 | 99 | 7 | +2.39 | – | |
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