COT Signal Matrix — week of February 17, 2026

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday February 17, 2026: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Australian Dollar (bearish), Coffee (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Australian Dollar (bearish), Canadian Dollar (bearish), Russell (bearish), 30-Year Note (bearish), Copper (bearish), Coffee (bullish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBearish19552057-64+55+30100-1.45–
CryptoEthereumBearish188638015-17+21-21061+0.76–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearishBEAR TOPMACRO BEAR SETUP4-YR SELL EXTREME0100100099-31+39+00100+2.06–
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral4054735170-15+11+165164-0.09–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish010090088+0+0-100100-0.76–
CurrenciesEuroBearishBEAR TOP39887265+3-2+1295+1.70–
CurrenciesJapanese YenNeutralMACD SELL6238476244-33+30+236260+0.49–
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutral2177852875+15-15+3270+1.26–
CurrenciesNew ZealandNeutral6235688062-22+20+288097-0.01–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBullish5616814883-36+0+154827+1.13–
CurrenciesUS DollarBearishLW MACO BULL5746295529-10+12-755100-1.38–
EnergiesCrude OilBearish415210046100-52+43+6446100+1.82–
EnergiesGasolineBearishBEAR TOP1282973486-29+22+493469+1.93–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral3270613356-9-6+433310+0.63–
EnergiesNatural GasBullish956429542+3+5-2959+0.44–
EquitiesDOWNeutral3178623559+31-14-383578-1.19–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral8125207021+47-16-807025-0.68–
EquitiesRussellNeutralEXHAUSTION2076672078+4-12+62068-0.34–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral5433855981+43-50-155916-0.27–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral7432475745-1+5-165722+1.74–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBearish6047254215-19+23-134291+1.71–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBearish27981084-19+6+18090+0.17–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish6933375628-9+10-155683+2.19–
GrainsCornNeutral6433875886+11-9+05825+1.04–
GrainsSoybeanBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP168651522-16+19-631568+2.15–
GrainsSoybean MealNeutral30697227100-26+19+702748-1.07–
GrainsSoybean OilBearish2476732867-70+70+682899+1.81–
GrainsWheatNeutral4460104716-56+60-904757-1.23–
Live StockFeeder CattleBearishEXHAUSTION169501123-61+77-721195+0.69–
Live StockLean HogsNeutralMACRO BEAR SETUP29740280-44+49-542874+1.34–
Live StockLive CattleBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL79925036-74+83-69076+0.39–
MetalsCopperBearish988891390-4+8-111367+1.61–
MetalsGoldNeutralSTRUCTURAL BEAR1000747785+67-57-26770-1.70–
MetalsPalladiumBearish89561769+8-2-21766+0.06–
MetalsPlatinumBullish1002329773+38-34-31972-1.61–
MetalsSilverNeutral993317872+4+3-68785-2.38–
SoftsCocoaBullish936798883+61-60+4885+0.87–
SoftsCoffeeBullish100001000+32-35-171000-1.94–
SoftsCottonBullish7121605660+50-45-40560+1.43–
SoftsLumberNeutral7821468246-19+18+118283+0.51–
SoftsOrange JuiceBearish2575552758+11+11-132782-1.10–
SoftsSugarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10001710016+9-10+41000+3.23–

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