COT Signal Matrix — week of January 13, 2026

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday January 13, 2026: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Russell (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Japanese Yen (bullish), Crude Oil (bullish), Russell (bearish), Copper (bearish), Cotton (bearish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinNeutral4459524256+13-12+64270-1.49–
CryptoEthereumNeutral2772631220+3-6+161231+1.17–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearish316110030100-49+48+2130100+1.36–
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral5050526642-42+41+356677-0.66–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish799611054-81+90+271099-0.58–
CurrenciesEuroBearish1387741257+1-3+01266+1.61–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullish10001010010+6-7-81000-0.89–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearish595861773-14+15+21786+1.78–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish909449639-7+6+319622+0.71–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBullish1003388743+26+1-28874+1.69–
CurrenciesUS DollarBearish6635496558-32+35-1865100-1.01–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish959209620-2+3-89629+1.08–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral3663624853+36-37-204856+2.24–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral4169334131+27-14-62415+0.40–
EnergiesNatural GasBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10004710048+43-39-31000+0.86–
EquitiesDOWBearish1980762373-78+76-152386-1.59–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral5033774175+43-46-234213-0.53–
EquitiesRussellBearish510057066-9+26-210100-0.14–
EquitiesS&P 500Neutral187210021100-32+55+02165-0.66–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral7133545451+26-16-275426+1.88–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutral7131376429-3+0+106444+0.78–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBearish1483581161+0+22-2811100+0.09–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBearish7626397838-11+11-107897+0.40–
GrainsCornNeutral6829906388+17-17+166336-0.02–
GrainsSoybeanNeutral4457523651+43-41+33626-0.13–
GrainsSoybean MealNeutral4658114626+38-36-34654-1.70–
GrainsSoybean OilNeutral7524307530-6+7-17535+0.14–
GrainsWheatBullish1003829583+100-97+53953+1.39–
Live StockFeeder CattleBullish9010728975-10+10-288910+0.88–
Live StockLean HogsNeutral7027566543-30+27+246523-0.37–
Live StockLive CattleNeutral6727925186-33+27-85127-0.76–
MetalsCopperNeutral17741001895-3+0+31860+1.32–
MetalsGoldBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL6831002893-45+38+02898+1.83–
MetalsPalladiumBearish4-YR SELL EXTREME010078077+0+0-10100+0.50–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral8322732587+43+1-272522-1.18–
MetalsSilverNeutral82910069100-5-9+1006914-1.07–
SoftsCocoaBullishMACD BUY4-YR BUY EXTREME10001010023+0+0+101000+2.43–
SoftsCoffeeNeutral4061595749-60+61+465744+1.45–
SoftsCottonBearish206987887-29+21+518100+2.03–
SoftsLumberBullish10003710039+3-2+31000+1.41–
SoftsOrange JuiceBearishMACD SELL010025029-100+100-64049-1.47–
SoftsSugarBullish9486939-2+5-119337+1.61–

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