COT Signal Matrix — week of December 30, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday December 30, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bearish), Soybean Oil (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bearish), Crude Oil (bullish), DOW (bearish), Russell (bearish), S&P 500 (bearish), Soybean (bearish), Soybean Oil (bullish), Copper (bearish), Palladium (bearish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinNeutral6446377235+12-4-147236-2.51–
CryptoEthereumBearish218435314+4-2-10360+0.96–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP335910031100-44+41+3531100+1.23–
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutralLW MACO BULL5841467437-42+40+467466-0.90–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish01001000100-90+90+820100-0.92–
CurrenciesEuroBearish09989072-18+13+28097+1.54–
CurrenciesJapanese YenBullish9211308833-8+11+208821-1.19–
CurrenciesMexican PesoBearishMACRO BEAR SETUP1285941777-10+8+141798+2.01–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBullish8315449438-9+7+239435+0.42–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBullish960978493+31-24+48840+1.09–
CurrenciesUS DollarBearish6834356941-30+34-3569100-1.19–
EnergiesCrude OilBullish9313169117+4+0-149139-0.63–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral3565553949+35-35-313957+1.00–
EnergiesHeating OilNeutral3574413342+29-25-383320-0.48–
EnergiesNatural GasBullishMACD BUY8411399542+19-17-16957-0.60–
EquitiesDOWBearishEXHAUSTION22649511100-78+64-51198-2.99–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutralMACD BUYEXHAUSTION39231003499+36-60+03418-0.55–
EquitiesRussellBearish148783996-41+53-10986-0.42–
EquitiesS&P 500BearishEXHAUSTION1191891389-25+46+01391-0.44–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutralMACD BUY7424776174+28-23-7610+1.46–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBullish9015348125+19-9-28812+1.05–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteBearish68371373-24+40-133100+0.38–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish8118748472+0-1+168435+0.39–
GrainsCornNeutral5641774968+9-10+124972-0.49–
GrainsSoybeanNeutral2771831881+27-29+461850-0.58–
GrainsSoybean MealNeutralBULL TREND495605017+49-44-305051-2.62–
GrainsSoybean OilBullish100001000+36-33-521000-0.10–
GrainsWheatBullishMACD BUY801710092100+80-83+949223+0.77–
Live StockFeeder CattleBullish949729266-6+9-26929-0.43–
Live StockLean HogsNeutral772332688-23+23-146823-1.00–
Live StockLive CattleBullish9010888583-10+10-128510-0.74–
MetalsCopperBearish1283931084-13+11+81080+0.91–
MetalsGoldNeutral296110024100-25+16+102461+0.50–
MetalsPalladiumBearishMACD BUY59093484+5-8+6469+0.68–
MetalsPlatinumNeutral5941573365+28+12-433335-0.71–
MetalsSilverBullish10006410058+4-3+371000-0.35–
SoftsCocoaNeutralMACD SELL3565643466-65+65+643460+1.14–
SoftsCoffeeBullish964269828+4-20+26984+0.31–
SoftsCottonBearish3162682372-26+23+3523100+1.45–
SoftsLumberBullish928379239+0-1+109220+1.32–
SoftsOrange JuiceNeutral3171383737-69+71-623730-1.60–
SoftsSugarBullish8814118812-9+11-28866+0.85–

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