Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday September 16, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: DOW (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Coffee (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Mexican Peso (bearish), Heating Oil (bearish), DOW (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Cocoa (bullish), Coffee (bearish), Sugar (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5 | Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | NonComm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Index | NonRept Index | Comm Move | NonComm Move | NonRept Move | WILLCO | NonComm Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 35 | 58 | 67 | 34 | 62 | -45 | +35 | +14 | 34 | 100 | -0.47 | – |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Bearish | 8 | 94 | 66 | 9 | 20 | -16 | +24 | +5 | 9 | 94 | +2.34 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bearish | MACD SELL | 54 | 40 | 77 | 65 | 83 | -25 | +23 | +25 | 65 | 100 | -1.66 | – |
| Currencies | British Pound | Neutral | 58 | 36 | 92 | 59 | 86 | -35 | +36 | +30 | 59 | 36 | +1.02 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Neutral | 60 | 41 | 37 | 71 | 34 | +36 | -38 | -13 | 71 | 3 | +0.27 | – | |
| Currencies | Euro | Bearish | 7 | 95 | 79 | 9 | 65 | -3 | +11 | +4 | 9 | 77 | +2.26 | – | |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Bullish | 100 | 1 | 29 | 89 | 32 | +51 | -52 | +2 | 89 | 0 | -1.27 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Bearish | 42 | 56 | 83 | 16 | 84 | -8 | +7 | +10 | 16 | 100 | +0.02 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 56 | 44 | 32 | 80 | 21 | +15 | -15 | -1 | 80 | 20 | -1.02 | – | |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 28 | 74 | 72 | 50 | 64 | -8 | +6 | +12 | 50 | 32 | -0.82 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bullish | MACD BUY4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 35 | 100 | 44 | +5 | +0 | -50 | 100 | 0 | +0.42 | – |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bullish | 94 | 8 | 43 | 95 | 43 | +7 | +7 | -34 | 95 | 11 | +0.65 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Bearish | 34 | 48 | 92 | 31 | 92 | -25 | +18 | +35 | 31 | 96 | -0.41 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | 9 | 82 | 95 | 13 | 83 | -7 | -7 | +23 | 13 | 70 | +2.13 | – | |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 49 | 55 | 26 | 50 | 27 | +25 | -17 | -40 | 50 | 0 | +1.15 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 70 | 100 | 70 | +15 | -2 | -6 | 100 | 0 | +2.25 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | MACD BUY | 54 | 27 | 50 | 65 | 49 | +49 | -60 | -12 | 65 | 11 | +2.89 | – |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | 86 | 10 | 80 | 77 | 72 | -14 | +10 | +47 | 77 | 11 | +1.35 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 57 | 97 | 49 | +16 | -14 | +15 | 97 | 0 | +1.83 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Neutral | MACD SELL | 54 | 39 | 90 | 43 | 88 | -25 | +17 | +21 | 43 | 50 | +2.18 | – |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 84 | 14 | 54 | 62 | 43 | +10 | -14 | +14 | 62 | 0 | +1.50 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Neutral | 39 | 30 | 100 | 28 | 100 | +0 | -15 | +11 | 28 | 38 | +0.57 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | EXHAUSTION | 83 | 15 | 73 | 86 | 70 | -15 | +15 | -7 | 86 | 86 | +0.81 | – |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | 68 | 31 | 69 | 64 | 57 | -12 | +9 | +9 | 64 | 100 | -0.56 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 40 | 58 | 74 | 41 | 78 | -19 | +17 | +6 | 41 | 49 | +1.24 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Neutral | 44 | 65 | 22 | 47 | 19 | -56 | +59 | +3 | 47 | 78 | +0.23 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | 38 | 64 | 50 | 38 | 50 | +24 | -25 | -20 | 38 | 26 | +1.94 | – | |
| Grains | Wheat | Neutral | 40 | 54 | 75 | 43 | 79 | -18 | +9 | +24 | 43 | 58 | +0.10 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bullish | 100 | 4 | 87 | 100 | 72 | +100 | -94 | +61 | 100 | 4 | -1.82 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bearish | 2 | 96 | 36 | 12 | 41 | -37 | +35 | -18 | 12 | 96 | +1.63 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Neutral | 58 | 5 | 100 | 62 | 100 | -5 | -34 | +77 | 62 | 3 | -0.12 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | MACD SELL | 39 | 60 | 66 | 25 | 67 | -5 | +9 | -25 | 25 | 48 | -0.40 | – |
| Metals | Gold | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 94 | 8 | 75 | -42 | +46 | +31 | 8 | 100 | +2.11 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | MACD BUY | 27 | 64 | 85 | 36 | 81 | +3 | -7 | -15 | 36 | 60 | +0.68 | – |
| Metals | Platinum | Bullish | 92 | 7 | 92 | 100 | 72 | +48 | -45 | -7 | 100 | 7 | +1.16 | – | |
| Metals | Silver | Neutral | 63 | 33 | 57 | 77 | 51 | +4 | +4 | -43 | 77 | 32 | +0.32 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Bullish | BEAR TREND | 91 | 23 | 0 | 95 | 0 | -1 | +10 | -6 | 95 | 13 | +1.15 | – |
| Softs | Coffee | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | -100 | +96 | +93 | 0 | 100 | +1.21 | – |
| Softs | Cotton | Neutral | 61 | 37 | 40 | 66 | 46 | +10 | -14 | +24 | 66 | 33 | +0.52 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | 77 | 28 | 21 | 85 | 26 | +65 | -59 | -1 | 85 | 0 | +0.35 | – | |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Neutral | 78 | 0 | 76 | 75 | 75 | +73 | -93 | +37 | 75 | 52 | +0.33 | – | |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 94 | 8 | 12 | 95 | 14 | -6 | +8 | +9 | 95 | 25 | +0.66 | – | |
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