COT Signal Matrix — week of July 01, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday July 01, 2025: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Heating Oil (bearish), Russell (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bearish), Euro (bearish), Japanese Yen (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), Heating Oil (bearish), Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bullish), Silver (bearish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5Positioning · NPF CS 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexLrg IndexSml IndexComm IndexSml IndexComm MoveLrg MoveSml MoveWILLCOInst SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBullish8214618351-18+4+108313-0.10
CryptoEthereumNeutral5348456919+6-7+06951+2.05
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutral6927608760+4-7+128725-1.86
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral17729713100-22+25-11355-0.46
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearishEXHAUSTION792902795-25+24+322788-1.72
CurrenciesEuroBearish1280871382-13+14-51394+1.92
CurrenciesJapanese YenNeutralEXHAUSTION22759713100+14-20+291310+0.15
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutral5840882899+3-5+352860-0.66
CurrenciesNew ZealandBearishEXHAUSTION2869733270-33+32+3032100-1.25
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBearish78310018100+0-8+91883-1.08
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish947319040-1-4+119013+0.04
EnergiesCrude OilBearish3257783977-45+29+7539100+1.60
EnergiesGasolineNeutral6126655574+21-29+75525-1.38
EnergiesHeating OilBearish0981000100-32+46+130100-1.15
EnergiesNatural GasBearish2173672671-31+25+372699-0.86
EquitiesDOWNeutral3967413242-26-2+413267+0.98
EquitiesNasdaqNeutralEXHAUSTIONMACD SELL2064631869-80+44+631864-0.01
EquitiesRussellBullish10003510039+35-65+341000-1.89
EquitiesS&P 500NeutralEXHAUSTION6634426857-30+23+296836-1.78
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral5843555458-10+8-35474+1.38
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutralMACD BUY6635385633+2-2+45610+0.86
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral3847862981+5-11+15293+0.68
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish980788869-2-2+13880+2.06
GrainsCornBullishLW MACO BULL8415858378+21-20+10830-0.55
GrainsSoybeanNeutralMACD BUY3761713777+2-2-73757+0.85
GrainsSoybean MealBullishMACD BUY4-YR BUY EXTREME1000100100100+3+0+391000+1.71
GrainsSoybean OilBearish3167863284+4-8+283283+1.69
GrainsWheatBearish0100000-64+56+00100-1.54
Live StockFeeder CattleNeutralMACRO BEAR SETUP15785738100+15-21+153878+1.72
Live StockLean HogsBearish298402-39+40-30098+1.16
Live StockLive CattleNeutral5939675186-2-1+375139+0.43
MetalsCopperBearish4064392547-12+13+72597-0.57
MetalsGoldNeutral6729793684-28+27-213642-0.95
MetalsPalladiumBearish38561004873-28+23+3648100+0.89
MetalsPlatinumBearish168462555-38+15+62584+0.54
MetalsSilverBearish584100090-46+34+49084+0.31
SoftsCocoaBullishSTRUCTURAL BEAR996209823+99-94-40986-1.05
SoftsCoffeeBullish10004410054+15-18-121000-0.64
SoftsCottonNeutralLW MACO BULL3863425749-7+3+315760-1.90
SoftsLumberBearish3367353041-38+33+83086-0.30
SoftsOrange JuiceBullish10003510040+0+0+341000+0.85
SoftsSugarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME100081009+15-20-31000-0.60

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