COT Signal Matrix — week of June 17, 2025

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday June 17, 2025: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Canadian Dollar (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bearish), Canadian Dollar (bearish), Euro (bearish), Japanese Yen (bearish), Swiss Franc (bearish), Heating Oil (bearish), Nasdaq (bullish), Russell (bullish), S&P 500 (bullish), Feeder Cattle (bearish), Sugar (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBullish8714548545-13+0+138513+0.26–
CryptoEthereumNeutral7925497521+51-50+197528+2.14–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarNeutralEXHAUSTION6927608860+9-15+148828-2.09–
CurrenciesBritish PoundBearishEXHAUSTION98887096-41+44+14081-0.99–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarBearish01001000100-3+3+480100-0.37–
CurrenciesEuroBearishEXHAUSTION117810011100-17+14+011100+1.52–
CurrenciesJapanese YenNeutral2179761487+21-20-241416+0.26–
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutral55429025100+4-8+412579-0.65–
CurrenciesNew ZealandBearishEXHAUSTION3463664459-26+25+1144100-0.96–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancBearishEXHAUSTION0100971499+0+8-314100-1.71–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10012410029+2-8+51000-0.71–
EnergiesCrude OilBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL3455963887-48+34+8838100+1.21–
EnergiesGasolineNeutral6126626068+4-16+246033-0.75–
EnergiesHeating OilBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL1781000100-85+75+46094-1.81–
EnergiesNatural GasNeutralMACD SELL2673403142-33+28+253075-0.42–
EquitiesDOWBearish35100213925-31+44+1039100+2.49–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral922479410+18-62+79424+1.72–
EquitiesRussellBullish10001610018+3-34+161000+1.34–
EquitiesS&P 500Bullish10002210019+0-15+171000+1.81–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteBearish5447575462-21+24-325487+0.48–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteNeutral57550600+5+10-526074-0.28–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral3358722471-5+8-62436+0.38–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish982589452-1+2-34944+1.78–
GrainsCornNeutral7722817476+31-30+22740+0.01–
GrainsSoybeanBearish2572732778-11+9+927100+0.87–
GrainsSoybean MealBullish1000468928+3-1+10890+2.25–
GrainsSoybean OilBearish2872703069+2-3+23089+1.51–
GrainsWheatBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL21000350-80+83-863581-2.04–
Live StockFeeder CattleBearish7934215100-34+54-281593+1.63–
Live StockLean HogsBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL4-YR SELL EXTREME0100000-68+69-610100+1.97–
Live StockLive CattleNeutral4153632475-4-2+412455+0.13–
MetalsCopperNeutral4754473358-6+2+263351-0.87–
MetalsGoldNeutralMACD SELL66281003899-33+28+183841-0.94–
MetalsPalladiumBearish4551875567-32+28+3455100+0.71–
MetalsPlatinumBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL1286642150-59+47+362186+2.41–
MetalsSilverBearishBEAR TOPMACRO BEAR SETUP4-YR SELL EXTREME0100842226-47+53+422100+2.14–
SoftsCocoaNeutral5826793396+9-22+83426-0.89–
SoftsCoffeeNeutral9660725+44-45-54724-2.03–
SoftsCottonNeutralBULL TREND5447447251+42-48+447249-1.39–
SoftsLumberNeutral4656274931-21+19-34962+0.09–
SoftsOrange JuiceNeutral3763347234-63+50+347217+1.83–
SoftsSugarBullish4-YR BUY EXTREME10001510017+14-18+01000-0.06–

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