Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday December 31, 2024: Commercial and Speculator positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.
Raw CLS 95/5 full setups: Silver (bullish). NPF CS 80/20 full setups: British Pound (bullish), Canadian Dollar (bullish), Euro (bullish), Nasdaq (bearish), Russell (bearish), Silver (bullish).
| Positioning · Raw CLS 95/5 | Positioning · NPF CS 80/20 | Index Momentum | Friction & Flow | Open Interest | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Asset | Tape Bias | Signals | Comm Index | Lrg Index | Sml Index | Comm Index | Sml Index | Comm Move | Lrg Move | Sml Move | WILLCO | Inst Sentiment | OI Z | Max Pain Pull |
| Crypto | Bitcoin | Neutral | 62 | 44 | 18 | 71 | 7 | -34 | +38 | -41 | 71 | 78 | +1.14 | – | |
| Crypto | Ethereum | Neutral | 57 | 43 | 38 | 61 | 23 | -6 | +13 | -25 | 61 | 57 | +3.15 | – | |
| Currencies | Australian Dollar | Bullish | BULL TREND | 77 | 26 | 30 | 86 | 25 | +63 | -73 | -7 | 86 | 0 | -0.49 | – |
| Currencies | British Pound | Bullish | 96 | 1 | 13 | 92 | 6 | +38 | -39 | -28 | 92 | 2 | -1.46 | – | |
| Currencies | Canadian Dollar | Bullish | LW MACO BULL | 90 | 16 | 4 | 87 | 0 | -1 | +6 | -12 | 87 | 7 | +0.77 | – |
| Currencies | Euro | Bullish | STEALTH BULL | 99 | 2 | 12 | 98 | 15 | +3 | -1 | -3 | 98 | 4 | -1.92 | – |
| Currencies | Japanese Yen | Neutral | 32 | 70 | 40 | 45 | 30 | -15 | +15 | +4 | 45 | 43 | -1.08 | – | |
| Currencies | Mexican Peso | Neutral | 87 | 13 | 8 | 73 | 11 | -10 | +8 | +2 | 74 | 54 | -1.59 | – | |
| Currencies | New Zealand | Bullish | 4-YR BUY EXTREME | 100 | 0 | 11 | 100 | 31 | +5 | -5 | -4 | 100 | 0 | +2.47 | – |
| Currencies | Swiss Franc | Neutral | 69 | 52 | 17 | 74 | 19 | -10 | +13 | +12 | 74 | 35 | +0.71 | – | |
| Currencies | US Dollar | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 53 | 42 | 63 | 58 | 58 | -42 | +42 | +16 | 58 | 100 | +0.98 | – |
| Energies | Crude Oil | Bearish | 47 | 71 | 0 | 54 | 0 | -31 | +38 | +0 | 54 | 100 | +2.08 | – | |
| Energies | Gasoline | Neutral | 44 | 65 | 31 | 38 | 36 | +9 | -4 | -23 | 38 | 76 | -0.14 | – | |
| Energies | Heating Oil | Bearish | STRUCTURAL BULL | 43 | 60 | 37 | 47 | 33 | -56 | +59 | +26 | 47 | 100 | -0.99 | – |
| Energies | Natural Gas | Neutral | 60 | 42 | 21 | 66 | 22 | -36 | +38 | +21 | 66 | 63 | +0.18 | – | |
| Equities | DOW | Neutral | 43 | 29 | 100 | 40 | 100 | +6 | -14 | +0 | 40 | 0 | -0.87 | – | |
| Equities | Nasdaq | Neutral | 13 | 69 | 75 | 0 | 79 | -8 | -13 | +40 | 0 | 65 | -0.29 | – | |
| Equities | Russell | Neutral | 19 | 72 | 74 | 19 | 81 | +8 | -5 | -26 | 19 | 25 | +0.19 | – | |
| Equities | S&P 500 | Neutral | 56 | 28 | 78 | 56 | 100 | +37 | -39 | -22 | 56 | 28 | -0.64 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 10-Year Note | Bearish | 41 | 59 | 72 | 47 | 76 | -40 | +31 | +11 | 46 | 89 | -0.45 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 2-Year Note | Neutral | 78 | 21 | 65 | 59 | 66 | -17 | +17 | -13 | 59 | 46 | +0.77 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 30-Year Note | Bearish | 22 | 72 | 38 | 20 | 29 | +5 | +0 | -17 | 20 | 93 | +1.83 | – | |
| Fixed Income | 5-Year Note | Bullish | 88 | 11 | 59 | 92 | 66 | -12 | +11 | -2 | 92 | 38 | +0.58 | – | |
| Grains | Corn | Bearish | 0 | 100 | 7 | 0 | 30 | -3 | +3 | -17 | 0 | 100 | +1.41 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean | Neutral | 70 | 33 | 44 | 67 | 53 | -3 | +5 | -9 | 67 | 78 | +0.84 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Meal | Bullish | 85 | 16 | 54 | 86 | 49 | -15 | +16 | -32 | 86 | 16 | +0.14 | – | |
| Grains | Soybean Oil | Neutral | BULL TREND | 56 | 47 | 7 | 55 | 7 | +40 | -36 | -87 | 55 | 14 | -0.18 | – |
| Grains | Wheat | Bullish | 83 | 15 | 96 | 83 | 96 | -17 | +15 | +70 | 83 | 13 | +1.28 | – | |
| Live Stock | Feeder Cattle | Bearish | 8 | 100 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +8 | +0 | +0 | 11 | 100 | +1.70 | – | |
| Live Stock | Lean Hogs | Bearish | 21 | 81 | 29 | 11 | 21 | +15 | -15 | +29 | 11 | 85 | -0.98 | – | |
| Live Stock | Live Cattle | Bearish | 14 | 88 | 16 | 15 | 27 | +14 | -12 | -1 | 15 | 92 | +0.59 | – | |
| Metals | Copper | Neutral | 65 | 34 | 46 | 58 | 56 | +13 | -14 | -8 | 58 | 0 | -0.29 | – | |
| Metals | Gold | Neutral | 88 | 16 | 30 | 25 | 50 | -7 | +11 | -37 | 25 | 16 | -1.55 | – | |
| Metals | Palladium | Neutral | 69 | 30 | 74 | 78 | 58 | +12 | -13 | +12 | 78 | 0 | +0.95 | – | |
| Metals | Platinum | Bullish | STRUCTURAL BEAR | 100 | 0 | 94 | 100 | 91 | +63 | -62 | +39 | 100 | 0 | +0.41 | – |
| Metals | Silver | Bullish | 100 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | +13 | -7 | -15 | 100 | 0 | +0.73 | – | |
| Softs | Cocoa | Neutral | 92 | 22 | 11 | 82 | 29 | +41 | -17 | -66 | 82 | 29 | -0.64 | – | |
| Softs | Coffee | Neutral | 98 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 21 | +96 | -92 | -64 | 39 | 8 | -1.59 | – | |
| Softs | Cotton | Bullish | 90 | 9 | 24 | 88 | 30 | +1 | -1 | +1 | 88 | 0 | +0.38 | – | |
| Softs | Lumber | Bullish | MACD BUY | 70 | 36 | 30 | 84 | 35 | +47 | -40 | -8 | 84 | 17 | -0.86 | – |
| Softs | Orange Juice | Bearish | MACRO BEAR SETUP | 0 | 100 | 12 | 0 | 0 | +0 | +26 | -78 | 0 | 100 | +0.52 | – |
| Softs | Sugar | Bullish | 82 | 17 | 27 | 82 | 29 | +15 | -10 | -34 | 82 | 0 | +1.37 | – | |
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