COT Signal Matrix — week of October 22, 2024

Commitments of Traders positioning for 42 futures markets as reported by the CFTC for Tuesday October 22, 2024: Commercial, Non-Commercial and Non-Reportable positioning indexes on raw and OI-normalized bases, index momentum, WILLCO, sentiment and open-interest readings, with each model's setup verdict.

Raw 3-leg 95/5 full setups: Natural Gas (bullish), Russell (bearish), Soybean Oil (bearish). NPF 2-leg 80/20 full setups: Bitcoin (bullish), Australian Dollar (bearish), Heating Oil (bullish), Natural Gas (bullish), Russell (bearish), Soybean Oil (bearish), Coffee (bullish).

Positioning · Raw 3-leg 95/5Positioning · NPF 2-leg 80/20Index MomentumFriction & FlowOpen Interest
Asset ClassAssetTape BiasSignalsComm IndexNonComm IndexNonRept IndexComm IndexNonRept IndexComm MoveNonComm MoveNonRept MoveWILLCONonComm SentimentOI ZMax Pain Pull
CryptoBitcoinBullish9115348616+24-29+20869+1.63–
CryptoEthereumNeutral6038456242-15+2+316241+1.50–
CurrenciesAustralian DollarBearish59686387-16+17+1392-0.28–
CurrenciesBritish PoundNeutral3761652564+13-9-352528-0.42–
CurrenciesCanadian DollarNeutral6438127113+31-27-627143+0.93–
CurrenciesEuroBullishBULL TRENDMACD BUY10003210041+51-46-331000-1.40–
CurrenciesJapanese YenNeutral2579373526+25-21-633579-1.72–
CurrenciesMexican PesoNeutral89120780+22-25+07826-2.09–
CurrenciesNew ZealandNeutral5540645063+0+5-365039+0.48–
CurrenciesSwiss FrancNeutral4352726467+31-13-286452-0.71–
CurrenciesUS DollarBullish8513298133+71-85+298113-0.74–
EnergiesCrude OilNeutral8121237228-19+21-107223-1.51–
EnergiesGasolineBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL4953494456-51+47+484497-0.82–
EnergiesHeating OilBullish896229219-11+6+12929+1.24–
EnergiesNatural GasBullish4-YR BUY EXTREMESTRUCTURAL BEAR100051001+59-64-21000+1.47–
EquitiesDOWNeutral3962483252-27+24+253270-0.14–
EquitiesNasdaqNeutral6831246727+61-68-106712-0.38–
EquitiesRussellBearish59387486+5-7+23492-0.60–
EquitiesS&P 500Bearish3274473640-21+17+403693+0.41–
Fixed Income10-Year NoteNeutral6535817084-35+33-57041+0.33–
Fixed Income2-Year NoteBullish859885987+39-36+9590+1.32–
Fixed Income30-Year NoteNeutral2358752071+8-4-122057+1.74–
Fixed Income5-Year NoteBullish968809985-4+7-149945+0.86–
GrainsCornNeutral2869383254-35+31-103293+1.73–
GrainsSoybeanNeutral7130616473-19+17+116480+2.68–
GrainsSoybean MealNeutral2970723950-13+12+213962+1.98–
GrainsSoybean OilBearish01001000100-16+14+750100-1.35–
GrainsWheatNeutral3367553065+33-33+553071+1.21–
Live StockFeeder CattleBearish6100050-61+73-735100-0.48–
Live StockLean HogsBearish010018022-26+13+180100+1.75–
Live StockLive CattleBearish01005010-90+91-270100+1.46–
MetalsCopperNeutral3363862195-22+18+372143+0.40–
MetalsGoldBearish1383753035-2-4+163075+1.50–
MetalsPalladiumBearish4950676557-38+33+3665100+0.61–
MetalsPlatinumBearishSTRUCTURAL BULL010022022-71+67-290100+0.43–
MetalsSilverBearishSTRUCTURAL BULLMACD SELL4-YR SELL EXTREME01001860-100+100-76100+0.04–
SoftsCocoaBearish2084111712-5+8-251784-0.13–
SoftsCoffeeNeutral5348288712-12+11-248745+1.22–
SoftsCottonNeutral7426267030-26+26+2670100+1.05–
SoftsLumberNeutralLW MACO BULL6837317535-13+9+117579-0.14–
SoftsOrange JuiceNeutral740527354+55-88-157352-0.27–
SoftsSugarNeutral5934715380-19+10+495367-0.33–

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